Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project overnight lows near 27°C on September 7 under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and scattered showers, consistent with early-September climatology where minimums typically range 25–27°C. High humidity and limited radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover favor the 26–27°C range that dominates trader sentiment, while slight model differences in shower timing and wind shifts could nudge readings a degree lower or higher. A northeast monsoon surge remains days away, keeping conditions stable without significant cooling. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing represent the key near-term catalysts for any odds movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
27°C 39%
26°C 37%
28°C 14%
25°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
8%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
13%
26°C
37%
27°C
39%
28°C
14%
29°C
10%
30°C
10%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
8%
27°C 39%
26°C 37%
28°C 14%
25°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
10%
25°C
$93 Vol.
13%
26°C
$0 Vol.
37%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$20 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project overnight lows near 27°C on September 7 under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and scattered showers, consistent with early-September climatology where minimums typically range 25–27°C. High humidity and limited radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover favor the 26–27°C range that dominates trader sentiment, while slight model differences in shower timing and wind shifts could nudge readings a degree lower or higher. A northeast monsoon surge remains days away, keeping conditions stable without significant cooling. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing represent the key near-term catalysts for any odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$113End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project overnight lows near 27°C on September 7 under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and scattered showers, consistent with early-September climatology where minimums typically range 25–27°C. High humidity and limited radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover favor the 26–27°C range that dominates trader sentiment, while slight model differences in shower timing and wind shifts could nudge readings a degree lower or higher. A northeast monsoon surge remains days away, keeping conditions stable without significant cooling. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing represent the key near-term catalysts for any odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$113End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project overnight lows near 27°C on September 7 under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and scattered showers, consistent with early-September climatology where minimums typically range 25–27°C. High humidity and limited radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover favor the 26–27°C range that dominates trader sentiment, while slight model differences in shower timing and wind shifts could nudge readings a degree lower or higher. A northeast monsoon surge remains days away, keeping conditions stable without significant cooling. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing represent the key near-term catalysts for any odds movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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