Recent forecasts for Jinan indicate overnight lows near 19–22°C on September 19, reflecting a balance between lingering summer warmth and early autumn cooling. High-pressure ridges have promoted clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting radiative cooling while daytime highs reach 31–32°C. Model spreads arise from subtle differences in humidity, cloud cover, and steering patterns that affect minimum temperatures. These conditions explain why traders assign roughly equal weight to extremes of 12°C or below versus 22°C or higher, with mid-range outcomes like 17–18°C capturing uncertainty in nocturnal heat retention and frontal influences. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds in coming hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 19?
12°C or below 96%
22°C or higher 48%
17°C 40%
16°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
12°C or below
96%
13°C
17%
14°C
12%
15°C
21%
16°C
23%
17°C
25%
18°C
22%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
20%
22°C or higher
48%
12°C or below 96%
22°C or higher 48%
17°C 40%
16°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
12°C or below
$10 Vol.
96%
13°C
$10 Vol.
17%
14°C
$8 Vol.
12%
15°C
$8 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
23%
17°C
$5 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Jinan indicate overnight lows near 19–22°C on September 19, reflecting a balance between lingering summer warmth and early autumn cooling. High-pressure ridges have promoted clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting radiative cooling while daytime highs reach 31–32°C. Model spreads arise from subtle differences in humidity, cloud cover, and steering patterns that affect minimum temperatures. These conditions explain why traders assign roughly equal weight to extremes of 12°C or below versus 22°C or higher, with mid-range outcomes like 17–18°C capturing uncertainty in nocturnal heat retention and frontal influences. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds in coming hours.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$41End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Jinan indicate overnight lows near 19–22°C on September 19, reflecting a balance between lingering summer warmth and early autumn cooling. High-pressure ridges have promoted clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting radiative cooling while daytime highs reach 31–32°C. Model spreads arise from subtle differences in humidity, cloud cover, and steering patterns that affect minimum temperatures. These conditions explain why traders assign roughly equal weight to extremes of 12°C or below versus 22°C or higher, with mid-range outcomes like 17–18°C capturing uncertainty in nocturnal heat retention and frontal influences. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds in coming hours.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Jinan indicate overnight lows near 19–22°C on September 19, reflecting a balance between lingering summer warmth and early autumn cooling. High-pressure ridges have promoted clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting radiative cooling while daytime highs reach 31–32°C. Model spreads arise from subtle differences in humidity, cloud cover, and steering patterns that affect minimum temperatures. These conditions explain why traders assign roughly equal weight to extremes of 12°C or below versus 22°C or higher, with mid-range outcomes like 17–18°C capturing uncertainty in nocturnal heat retention and frontal influences. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds in coming hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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