Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and Yr.no indicate Jinan’s September 18 minimum will likely reach 19–21 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and modest overnight radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern. Trader consensus splitting between 16 °C and 17 °C reflects remaining uncertainty over the precise reading at the official urban station, where urban heat-island effects or brief clear-sky windows could shave 1–2 °C below broader model consensus. Historical September lows average near 18 °C, so current conditions sit slightly above climatology, keeping probabilities for sub-15 °C outcomes very low while allowing modest downside risk if winds calm further before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time station data will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 18?
12°C or below 87%
17°C 54%
16°C 46%
14°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
12°C or below
87%
13°C
8%
14°C
12%
15°C
7%
16°C
46%
17°C
54%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
1%
12°C or below 87%
17°C 54%
16°C 46%
14°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
87%
13°C
$0 Vol.
8%
14°C
$0 Vol.
12%
15°C
$111 Vol.
7%
16°C
$46 Vol.
46%
17°C
$0 Vol.
54%
18°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$49 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$24 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and Yr.no indicate Jinan’s September 18 minimum will likely reach 19–21 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and modest overnight radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern. Trader consensus splitting between 16 °C and 17 °C reflects remaining uncertainty over the precise reading at the official urban station, where urban heat-island effects or brief clear-sky windows could shave 1–2 °C below broader model consensus. Historical September lows average near 18 °C, so current conditions sit slightly above climatology, keeping probabilities for sub-15 °C outcomes very low while allowing modest downside risk if winds calm further before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time station data will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$473End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and Yr.no indicate Jinan’s September 18 minimum will likely reach 19–21 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and modest overnight radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern. Trader consensus splitting between 16 °C and 17 °C reflects remaining uncertainty over the precise reading at the official urban station, where urban heat-island effects or brief clear-sky windows could shave 1–2 °C below broader model consensus. Historical September lows average near 18 °C, so current conditions sit slightly above climatology, keeping probabilities for sub-15 °C outcomes very low while allowing modest downside risk if winds calm further before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time station data will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$473End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and Yr.no indicate Jinan’s September 18 minimum will likely reach 19–21 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and modest overnight radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern. Trader consensus splitting between 16 °C and 17 °C reflects remaining uncertainty over the precise reading at the official urban station, where urban heat-island effects or brief clear-sky windows could shave 1–2 °C below broader model consensus. Historical September lows average near 18 °C, so current conditions sit slightly above climatology, keeping probabilities for sub-15 °C outcomes very low while allowing modest downside risk if winds calm further before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time station data will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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