Trader sentiment clusters around 25–28°C minimums in Lucknow on August 22 because southwest monsoon conditions typically produce nighttime lows near 26°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover. Recent IMD outlooks note isolated heavy rainfall over eastern Uttar Pradesh, which increases cloudiness and reduces nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting the higher end of the range. Clearer breaks between rain bands could allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 25°C, while persistent moisture and urban heat retention favor 27–28°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and convective activity will refine these probabilities ahead of the 22nd observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 22?
28°C 35%
25°C 34%
26°C 30%
23°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
28%
24°C
3%
25°C
34%
26°C
30%
27°C
34%
28°C
35%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 35%
25°C 34%
26°C 30%
23°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
$227 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$97 Vol.
28%
24°C
$51 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$48 Vol.
34%
28°C
$6 Vol.
35%
29°C
$123 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$469 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$172 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters around 25–28°C minimums in Lucknow on August 22 because southwest monsoon conditions typically produce nighttime lows near 26°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover. Recent IMD outlooks note isolated heavy rainfall over eastern Uttar Pradesh, which increases cloudiness and reduces nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting the higher end of the range. Clearer breaks between rain bands could allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 25°C, while persistent moisture and urban heat retention favor 27–28°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and convective activity will refine these probabilities ahead of the 22nd observation.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$1,351End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters around 25–28°C minimums in Lucknow on August 22 because southwest monsoon conditions typically produce nighttime lows near 26°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover. Recent IMD outlooks note isolated heavy rainfall over eastern Uttar Pradesh, which increases cloudiness and reduces nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting the higher end of the range. Clearer breaks between rain bands could allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 25°C, while persistent moisture and urban heat retention favor 27–28°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and convective activity will refine these probabilities ahead of the 22nd observation.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,351End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around 25–28°C minimums in Lucknow on August 22 because southwest monsoon conditions typically produce nighttime lows near 26°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover. Recent IMD outlooks note isolated heavy rainfall over eastern Uttar Pradesh, which increases cloudiness and reduces nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting the higher end of the range. Clearer breaks between rain bands could allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 25°C, while persistent moisture and urban heat retention favor 27–28°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and convective activity will refine these probabilities ahead of the 22nd observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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