Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City on September 12 points to a minimum temperature in the mid-60s, with Central Park forecasts centering near 64°F amid partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and moderate humidity. This aligns closely with climatological norms of roughly 63°F for the date while reflecting limited overnight cooling potential from residual cloud cover and a modest dew-point depression. Trader sentiment clusters tightly between the 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any evening showers can shift the observed low by 1–2°F, and official resolution relies on verified readings at primary stations rather than model output alone. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on September 12?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 12?
66-67°F 36%
64-65°F 33%
62-63°F 16%
68-69°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
16%
64-65°F
33%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 36%
64-65°F 33%
62-63°F 16%
68-69°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
57°F or below
$31 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$31 Vol.
3%
60-61°F
$31 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$211 Vol.
16%
64-65°F
$1,201 Vol.
33%
66-67°F
$1,534 Vol.
36%
68-69°F
$163 Vol.
14%
70-71°F
$81 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$30 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$102 Vol.
<1%
76°F or higher
$36 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City on September 12 points to a minimum temperature in the mid-60s, with Central Park forecasts centering near 64°F amid partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and moderate humidity. This aligns closely with climatological norms of roughly 63°F for the date while reflecting limited overnight cooling potential from residual cloud cover and a modest dew-point depression. Trader sentiment clusters tightly between the 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any evening showers can shift the observed low by 1–2°F, and official resolution relies on verified readings at primary stations rather than model output alone. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,451End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City on September 12 points to a minimum temperature in the mid-60s, with Central Park forecasts centering near 64°F amid partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and moderate humidity. This aligns closely with climatological norms of roughly 63°F for the date while reflecting limited overnight cooling potential from residual cloud cover and a modest dew-point depression. Trader sentiment clusters tightly between the 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any evening showers can shift the observed low by 1–2°F, and official resolution relies on verified readings at primary stations rather than model output alone. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,451End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City on September 12 points to a minimum temperature in the mid-60s, with Central Park forecasts centering near 64°F amid partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and moderate humidity. This aligns closely with climatological norms of roughly 63°F for the date while reflecting limited overnight cooling potential from residual cloud cover and a modest dew-point depression. Trader sentiment clusters tightly between the 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any evening showers can shift the observed low by 1–2°F, and official resolution relies on verified readings at primary stations rather than model output alone. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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