**Trader consensus clusters around 22–26°C for Panama City’s August 28 minimum, reflecting near-term forecast agreement amid typical rainy-season conditions.** Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the long-term August average of 23–25°C. Recent model runs from regional meteorological centers show little variation, with steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures sustaining muggy, stable air masses that suppress sharper drops. The tight spread between leading outcomes captures residual uncertainty in exact timing of convective activity and localized wind shifts, which can alter the recorded minimum by 1–2°C before official station data finalize the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 28?
22°C 92%
21°C 59%
25°C 50%
24°C 42%
$12,259 Vol.
$12,259 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
59%
22°C
92%
23°C
3%
24°C
42%
25°C
50%
26°C
45%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 92%
21°C 59%
25°C 50%
24°C 42%
$12,259 Vol.
$12,259 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
59%
22°C
92%
23°C
3%
24°C
42%
25°C
50%
26°C
45%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus clusters around 22–26°C for Panama City’s August 28 minimum, reflecting near-term forecast agreement amid typical rainy-season conditions.** Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the long-term August average of 23–25°C. Recent model runs from regional meteorological centers show little variation, with steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures sustaining muggy, stable air masses that suppress sharper drops. The tight spread between leading outcomes captures residual uncertainty in exact timing of convective activity and localized wind shifts, which can alter the recorded minimum by 1–2°C before official station data finalize the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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