**Latest forecast models indicate an overnight low near 14–15°C in Paris for September 19 under stable high pressure and light southwesterly winds.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will promote moderate radiative cooling, while the air mass remains mild following several cooler days with minima around 11–13°C. Historical averages place the September 19 low near 11°C, yet current guidance from GFS and European models shows limited further cooling due to the absence of strong northerly flow or extensive clear-sky conditions. Traders appear to weigh recent observed trends against model consensus, with 12–13°C outcomes reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in final minimum readings before sunrise. Updated model runs and morning observations from Météo-France will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 19?
12°C 44%
13°C 33%
11°C 16%
14°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
2%
11°C
16%
12°C
44%
13°C
33%
14°C
11%
15°C
4%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
12°C 44%
13°C 33%
11°C 16%
14°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
11°C
$285 Vol.
16%
12°C
$547 Vol.
44%
13°C
$2,125 Vol.
33%
14°C
$256 Vol.
11%
15°C
$0 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
3%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$2 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$2 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast models indicate an overnight low near 14–15°C in Paris for September 19 under stable high pressure and light southwesterly winds.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will promote moderate radiative cooling, while the air mass remains mild following several cooler days with minima around 11–13°C. Historical averages place the September 19 low near 11°C, yet current guidance from GFS and European models shows limited further cooling due to the absence of strong northerly flow or extensive clear-sky conditions. Traders appear to weigh recent observed trends against model consensus, with 12–13°C outcomes reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in final minimum readings before sunrise. Updated model runs and morning observations from Météo-France will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,229End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast models indicate an overnight low near 14–15°C in Paris for September 19 under stable high pressure and light southwesterly winds.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will promote moderate radiative cooling, while the air mass remains mild following several cooler days with minima around 11–13°C. Historical averages place the September 19 low near 11°C, yet current guidance from GFS and European models shows limited further cooling due to the absence of strong northerly flow or extensive clear-sky conditions. Traders appear to weigh recent observed trends against model consensus, with 12–13°C outcomes reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in final minimum readings before sunrise. Updated model runs and morning observations from Météo-France will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,229End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecast models indicate an overnight low near 14–15°C in Paris for September 19 under stable high pressure and light southwesterly winds.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will promote moderate radiative cooling, while the air mass remains mild following several cooler days with minima around 11–13°C. Historical averages place the September 19 low near 11°C, yet current guidance from GFS and European models shows limited further cooling due to the absence of strong northerly flow or extensive clear-sky conditions. Traders appear to weigh recent observed trends against model consensus, with 12–13°C outcomes reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in final minimum readings before sunrise. Updated model runs and morning observations from Météo-France will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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