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icon for Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 27?

Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 27?

icon for Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 27?

Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 27?

19°C 95%

15°C or below 93%

20°C 93%

17°C 92%

Polymarket
NEW

19°C 95%

15°C or below 93%

20°C 93%

17°C 92%

Polymarket
NEW

15°C or below

$24 Vol.

93%

16°C

$24 Vol.

91%

17°C

$24 Vol.

92%

18°C

$76 Vol.

43%

19°C

$5 Vol.

95%

20°C

$5 Vol.

93%

21°C

$64 Vol.

46%

22°C

$6 Vol.

47%

23°C

$0 Vol.

49%

24°C

$0 Vol.

48%

25°C or higher

$0 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 27 reflects tight clustering around 23–25°C because multiple global and regional forecast models show overnight lows in a narrow 22–24°C range amid transitional atmospheric conditions.** Northeasterly flow is advecting slightly cooler, more humid air into the region after recent warmer southerly patterns, moderating daytime highs to the mid-20s°C while limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Increased cloud cover—forecast at 70–85% in several runs—reduces outgoing longwave radiation, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping as sharply as under clearer skies. Dew points near 20–23°C and light winds (5–8 mph/NE) further stabilize the boundary layer, with model consensus pointing to a low near 22–24°C depending on exact timing of any light showers or cloud breaks. Uncertainty in overnight cloud thickness and subtle shifts in the steering flow creates the near-even implied probabilities across 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C+ bins, as small differences in these variables can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August climatology for Zhengzhou supports lows in this range under similar post-monsoon transitional regimes, with official agency guidance (e.g., ECMWF, GFS ensembles) showing limited spread at this short lead time.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$228
End Date
Aug 27, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 27 reflects tight clustering around 23–25°C because multiple global and regional forecast models show overnight lows in a narrow 22–24°C range amid transitional atmospheric conditions.** Northeasterly flow is advecting slightly cooler, more humid air into the region after recent warmer southerly patterns, moderating daytime highs to the mid-20s°C while limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Increased cloud cover—forecast at 70–85% in several runs—reduces outgoing longwave radiation, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping as sharply as under clearer skies. Dew points near 20–23°C and light winds (5–8 mph/NE) further stabilize the boundary layer, with model consensus pointing to a low near 22–24°C depending on exact timing of any light showers or cloud breaks. Uncertainty in overnight cloud thickness and subtle shifts in the steering flow creates the near-even implied probabilities across 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C+ bins, as small differences in these variables can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August climatology for Zhengzhou supports lows in this range under similar post-monsoon transitional regimes, with official agency guidance (e.g., ECMWF, GFS ensembles) showing limited spread at this short lead time.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$228
End Date
Aug 27, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "23°C" at 49%, followed by "19°C" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 27?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 27?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 27?" is "23°C" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "19°C" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.