**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 27 reflects tight clustering around 23–25°C because multiple global and regional forecast models show overnight lows in a narrow 22–24°C range amid transitional atmospheric conditions.** Northeasterly flow is advecting slightly cooler, more humid air into the region after recent warmer southerly patterns, moderating daytime highs to the mid-20s°C while limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Increased cloud cover—forecast at 70–85% in several runs—reduces outgoing longwave radiation, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping as sharply as under clearer skies. Dew points near 20–23°C and light winds (5–8 mph/NE) further stabilize the boundary layer, with model consensus pointing to a low near 22–24°C depending on exact timing of any light showers or cloud breaks. Uncertainty in overnight cloud thickness and subtle shifts in the steering flow creates the near-even implied probabilities across 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C+ bins, as small differences in these variables can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August climatology for Zhengzhou supports lows in this range under similar post-monsoon transitional regimes, with official agency guidance (e.g., ECMWF, GFS ensembles) showing limited spread at this short lead time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 27?
19°C 95%
15°C or below 93%
20°C 93%
17°C 92%
15°C or below
93%
16°C
91%
17°C
92%
18°C
43%
19°C
95%
20°C
93%
21°C
46%
22°C
47%
23°C
49%
24°C
48%
25°C or higher
47%
19°C 95%
15°C or below 93%
20°C 93%
17°C 92%
15°C or below
93%
16°C
91%
17°C
92%
18°C
43%
19°C
95%
20°C
93%
21°C
46%
22°C
47%
23°C
49%
24°C
48%
25°C or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 27 reflects tight clustering around 23–25°C because multiple global and regional forecast models show overnight lows in a narrow 22–24°C range amid transitional atmospheric conditions.** Northeasterly flow is advecting slightly cooler, more humid air into the region after recent warmer southerly patterns, moderating daytime highs to the mid-20s°C while limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Increased cloud cover—forecast at 70–85% in several runs—reduces outgoing longwave radiation, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping as sharply as under clearer skies. Dew points near 20–23°C and light winds (5–8 mph/NE) further stabilize the boundary layer, with model consensus pointing to a low near 22–24°C depending on exact timing of any light showers or cloud breaks. Uncertainty in overnight cloud thickness and subtle shifts in the steering flow creates the near-even implied probabilities across 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C+ bins, as small differences in these variables can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August climatology for Zhengzhou supports lows in this range under similar post-monsoon transitional regimes, with official agency guidance (e.g., ECMWF, GFS ensembles) showing limited spread at this short lead time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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