Skip to main content
icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
Politics·Main Elections

Makerfield by-election Winner

icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
Politics·Main Elections

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy Burnham 66%

Robert Kenyon 32%

James Thomas Bryer 1.3%

Maria Deery 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

$21,066 Vol.

Andy Burnham 66%

Robert Kenyon 32%

James Thomas Bryer 1.3%

Maria Deery 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

$21,066 Vol.

Andy Burnham

$8,941 Vol.

66%

Robert Kenyon

$8,339 Vol.

32%

James Thomas Bryer

$297 Vol.

1%

Maria Deery

$1,165 Vol.

1%

John Skipworth

$1,034 Vol.

1%

Simon Finkelstein

$1,289 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market because Labour’s National Executive Committee cleared him on May 15 to enter candidate selection after outgoing MP Josh Simons resigned to create the vacancy amid the party’s leadership crisis. This positions the Greater Manchester mayor to return to Westminster and potentially challenge Keir Starmer. Robert Kenyon trails at 31.5% on the back of Reform UK’s strong local performance, including winning every ward in recent council elections and securing 31.8% in the 2024 general election. Traders view the June contest as a test of Labour’s ability to hold a seat against rising Reform support, with minor candidates reflecting limited prospects for other parties.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$21,066
Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market because Labour’s National Executive Committee cleared him on May 15 to enter candidate selection after outgoing MP Josh Simons resigned to create the vacancy amid the party’s leadership crisis. This positions the Greater Manchester mayor to return to Westminster and potentially challenge Keir Starmer. Robert Kenyon trails at 31.5% on the back of Reform UK’s strong local performance, including winning every ward in recent council elections and securing 31.8% in the 2024 general election. Traders view the June contest as a test of Labour’s ability to hold a seat against rising Reform support, with minor candidates reflecting limited prospects for other parties.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$21,066
Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

Related

icon for Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?

93%
icon for Will the Republican Party win the MO-06 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the MO-06 House seat?

92%
icon for Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

83%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Makerfield by-election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andy Burnham" at 66%, followed by "Robert Kenyon" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Makerfield by-election Winner" has generated $21.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Makerfield by-election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Makerfield by-election Winner" is "Andy Burnham" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Robert Kenyon" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Makerfield by-election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.