Roseana Sarney's July 2026 confirmation of her MDB pre-candidacy for the Maranhão Senate seat has anchored trader consensus around her viability, drawing on her prior governorship and established state-level networks. A fragmented field featuring multiple contenders such as Weverton Rocha, Eliziane Gama, and others sustains tight positioning, as coalition negotiations, party conventions, and early internal surveys shape vote-share projections without a decisive breakout. Developments like candidate alliances, regional polling shifts, or formal nomination deadlines through September could widen gaps before the October 2026 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRoseana Sarney 60%
Wilson Leite 30%
Lahesio Bonfim 26%
Cidônio Gonçalves 25%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
60%
Wilson Leite
30%
Lahesio Bonfim
26%
Cidônio Gonçalves
25%
Enilton Rodrigues
24%
Simplício Araújo
24%
Weverton Rocha
23%
Eliziane Gama
22%
Fufuca
22%
Raimundo Moreira
21%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
20%
Roseana Sarney 60%
Wilson Leite 30%
Lahesio Bonfim 26%
Cidônio Gonçalves 25%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
$20 Vol.
60%
Wilson Leite
$0 Vol.
30%
Lahesio Bonfim
$0 Vol.
26%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$0 Vol.
25%
Enilton Rodrigues
$0 Vol.
24%
Simplício Araújo
$0 Vol.
24%
Weverton Rocha
$0 Vol.
23%
Eliziane Gama
$0 Vol.
22%
Fufuca
$0 Vol.
22%
Raimundo Moreira
$21 Vol.
21%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$21 Vol.
20%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney's July 2026 confirmation of her MDB pre-candidacy for the Maranhão Senate seat has anchored trader consensus around her viability, drawing on her prior governorship and established state-level networks. A fragmented field featuring multiple contenders such as Weverton Rocha, Eliziane Gama, and others sustains tight positioning, as coalition negotiations, party conventions, and early internal surveys shape vote-share projections without a decisive breakout. Developments like candidate alliances, regional polling shifts, or formal nomination deadlines through September could widen gaps before the October 2026 general election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$62End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney's July 2026 confirmation of her MDB pre-candidacy for the Maranhão Senate seat has anchored trader consensus around her viability, drawing on her prior governorship and established state-level networks. A fragmented field featuring multiple contenders such as Weverton Rocha, Eliziane Gama, and others sustains tight positioning, as coalition negotiations, party conventions, and early internal surveys shape vote-share projections without a decisive breakout. Developments like candidate alliances, regional polling shifts, or formal nomination deadlines through September could widen gaps before the October 2026 general election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$62End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Roseana Sarney's July 2026 confirmation of her MDB pre-candidacy for the Maranhão Senate seat has anchored trader consensus around her viability, drawing on her prior governorship and established state-level networks. A fragmented field featuring multiple contenders such as Weverton Rocha, Eliziane Gama, and others sustains tight positioning, as coalition negotiations, party conventions, and early internal surveys shape vote-share projections without a decisive breakout. Developments like candidate alliances, regional polling shifts, or formal nomination deadlines through September could widen gaps before the October 2026 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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