Traders view Morena as the clear frontrunner for the Mexico legislative election winner, reflecting its organizational strength and consistent leads in national polling after the 2024 general election results. The ruling party's coalition ties with PVEM and PT bolster its position by expanding seat projections in the Chamber of Deputies, while opposition parties PAN, PRI, and MC face persistent fragmentation that limits their ability to challenge for plurality. Recent legislative sessions advancing Morena-backed measures on social spending and energy policy have sustained voter alignment ahead of the vote, widening the gap in implied probabilities across the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMorena 74%
PAN 22%
PT 20%
PRI 19%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2027
PAN
22%
PRI
19%
PT
20%
PVEM
19%
MC
17%
Morena
74%
Morena 74%
PAN 22%
PT 20%
PRI 19%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2027
PAN
$29 Vol.
22%
PRI
$29 Vol.
19%
PT
$29 Vol.
20%
PVEM
$29 Vol.
19%
MC
$29 Vol.
17%
Morena
$40 Vol.
74%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Traders view Morena as the clear frontrunner for the Mexico legislative election winner, reflecting its organizational strength and consistent leads in national polling after the 2024 general election results. The ruling party's coalition ties with PVEM and PT bolster its position by expanding seat projections in the Chamber of Deputies, while opposition parties PAN, PRI, and MC face persistent fragmentation that limits their ability to challenge for plurality. Recent legislative sessions advancing Morena-backed measures on social spending and energy policy have sustained voter alignment ahead of the vote, widening the gap in implied probabilities across the field.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$187End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Traders view Morena as the clear frontrunner for the Mexico legislative election winner, reflecting its organizational strength and consistent leads in national polling after the 2024 general election results. The ruling party's coalition ties with PVEM and PT bolster its position by expanding seat projections in the Chamber of Deputies, while opposition parties PAN, PRI, and MC face persistent fragmentation that limits their ability to challenge for plurality. Recent legislative sessions advancing Morena-backed measures on social spending and energy policy have sustained voter alignment ahead of the vote, widening the gap in implied probabilities across the field.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$187End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view Morena as the clear frontrunner for the Mexico legislative election winner, reflecting its organizational strength and consistent leads in national polling after the 2024 general election results. The ruling party's coalition ties with PVEM and PT bolster its position by expanding seat projections in the Chamber of Deputies, while opposition parties PAN, PRI, and MC face persistent fragmentation that limits their ability to challenge for plurality. Recent legislative sessions advancing Morena-backed measures on social spending and energy policy have sustained voter alignment ahead of the vote, widening the gap in implied probabilities across the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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