Morena holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for winning the most seats in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election, reflecting consistent polling advantages of roughly 30 points over rivals and its control of the largest share of governorships and municipal governments. The party’s coalition partners PVEM and PT bolster its position in vote-share projections, often pushing the bloc near or above 45 percent, while the opposition remains divided after PAN’s decision to contest the race independently. Recent surveys through mid-2026 continue to show Morena in the high 30s to mid-40s in voting intention, supported by public financing allocations that favor established parties and the structural benefits of incumbency under the current administration. Fragmented opposition parties, including PAN, PRI, and MC, register only single- or low-double-digit support and face challenges coordinating ahead of the midterms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMorena 89.8%
PAN 7.4%
PRI <1%
MC <1%
$98,891 Vol.
$98,891 Vol.
Jun 5, 2027
Morena
90%
PAN
7%
PRI
1%
MC
<1%
PT
<1%
PVEM
<1%
Morena 89.8%
PAN 7.4%
PRI <1%
MC <1%
$98,891 Vol.
$98,891 Vol.
Jun 5, 2027
Morena
$55,412 Vol.
90%
PAN
$15,664 Vol.
7%
PRI
$7,219 Vol.
1%
MC
$8,408 Vol.
<1%
PT
$6,047 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$6,141 Vol.
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for winning the most seats in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election, reflecting consistent polling advantages of roughly 30 points over rivals and its control of the largest share of governorships and municipal governments. The party’s coalition partners PVEM and PT bolster its position in vote-share projections, often pushing the bloc near or above 45 percent, while the opposition remains divided after PAN’s decision to contest the race independently. Recent surveys through mid-2026 continue to show Morena in the high 30s to mid-40s in voting intention, supported by public financing allocations that favor established parties and the structural benefits of incumbency under the current administration. Fragmented opposition parties, including PAN, PRI, and MC, register only single- or low-double-digit support and face challenges coordinating ahead of the midterms.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$98,891End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for winning the most seats in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election, reflecting consistent polling advantages of roughly 30 points over rivals and its control of the largest share of governorships and municipal governments. The party’s coalition partners PVEM and PT bolster its position in vote-share projections, often pushing the bloc near or above 45 percent, while the opposition remains divided after PAN’s decision to contest the race independently. Recent surveys through mid-2026 continue to show Morena in the high 30s to mid-40s in voting intention, supported by public financing allocations that favor established parties and the structural benefits of incumbency under the current administration. Fragmented opposition parties, including PAN, PRI, and MC, register only single- or low-double-digit support and face challenges coordinating ahead of the midterms.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$98,891End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for winning the most seats in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election, reflecting consistent polling advantages of roughly 30 points over rivals and its control of the largest share of governorships and municipal governments. The party’s coalition partners PVEM and PT bolster its position in vote-share projections, often pushing the bloc near or above 45 percent, while the opposition remains divided after PAN’s decision to contest the race independently. Recent surveys through mid-2026 continue to show Morena in the high 30s to mid-40s in voting intention, supported by public financing allocations that favor established parties and the structural benefits of incumbency under the current administration. Fragmented opposition parties, including PAN, PRI, and MC, register only single- or low-double-digit support and face challenges coordinating ahead of the midterms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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