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icon for Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Global Elections

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Global Elections

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

Tião Pessoa 44%

Victória Mello Vic 44%

Juiz Ramon Moreira 44%

Marcelo Aro 44%

Polymarket
NEW

Tião Pessoa 44%

Victória Mello Vic 44%

Juiz Ramon Moreira 44%

Marcelo Aro 44%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$20 Vol.

10%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$20 Vol.

9%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$20 Vol.

35%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple candidates from major parties including PT, PSD, PL, PP, and PSOL remain closely bunched in trader pricing for first place in Minas Gerais' two-seat Senate contest on October 4. Recent state-level surveys through mid-2026 show Marília Campos, Carlos Viana, Domingos Sávio, and Marcelo Aro trading narrow leads depending on the exact question wording, while the broader field stays fragmented ahead of the official campaign launch. With no single frontrunner consolidating support and turnout dynamics still fluid across the state's large electorate, implied probabilities reflect this even split. Late-August polling releases, candidate alliances, and the first wave of televised debates within the resolution window could produce clearer separation among the top contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$60
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple candidates from major parties including PT, PSD, PL, PP, and PSOL remain closely bunched in trader pricing for first place in Minas Gerais' two-seat Senate contest on October 4. Recent state-level surveys through mid-2026 show Marília Campos, Carlos Viana, Domingos Sávio, and Marcelo Aro trading narrow leads depending on the exact question wording, while the broader field stays fragmented ahead of the official campaign launch. With no single frontrunner consolidating support and turnout dynamics still fluid across the state's large electorate, implied probabilities reflect this even split. Late-August polling releases, candidate alliances, and the first wave of televised debates within the resolution window could produce clearer separation among the top contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$60
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tião Pessoa" at 44%, followed by "Victória Mello Vic" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Tião Pessoa" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Victória Mello Vic" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.