Skip to main content
icon for Niagara Falls, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Canada

Niagara Falls, ON Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Niagara Falls, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Canada

Niagara Falls, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Jim Diodati 83%

Lori Lococo 16%

Paul Manning 2.7%

Kevin Martineau 1.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Jim Diodati 83%

Lori Lococo 16%

Paul Manning 2.7%

Kevin Martineau 1.8%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Jim Diodati

Jim Diodati

$394 Vol.

83%

icon for Lori Lococo

Lori Lococo

$96 Vol.

16%

icon for Paul Manning

Paul Manning

$58 Vol.

3%

icon for Kevin Martineau

Kevin Martineau

$58 Vol.

2%

The 2026 Niagara Falls, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Niagara Falls, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Niagara Falls, Ontario.**Jim Diodati, the incumbent mayor since 2010 seeking a fifth term, holds a commanding lead in trader pricing at 82.5 percent.** His established record of electoral success, including a 66.7 percent share in the 2022 municipal election, combined with an active campaign emphasizing housing development, the $3.6 billion South Niagara Hospital project, family doctor recruitment, infrastructure upgrades, and economic initiatives, underpins the market's assessment. Nominations closed on August 21, 2026, confirming a field that includes city councillor Lori Lococo (priced at 15.5 percent), along with lower-profile challengers such as Kevin Martineau and Paul Manning (both at 3.5 percent). Lococo's eight years on council provide the clearest alternative path among opponents, yet the absence of major recent disruptions or high-visibility momentum shifts for any challenger has left the probabilities largely stable. The election is scheduled for October 26, 2026, with advance voting already underway.

The 2026 Niagara Falls, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Niagara Falls, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Niagara Falls, Ontario.
Volume
$606
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Niagara Falls, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Niagara Falls, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Niagara Falls, Ontario.
The 2026 Niagara Falls, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Niagara Falls, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Niagara Falls, Ontario.**Jim Diodati, the incumbent mayor since 2010 seeking a fifth term, holds a commanding lead in trader pricing at 82.5 percent.** His established record of electoral success, including a 66.7 percent share in the 2022 municipal election, combined with an active campaign emphasizing housing development, the $3.6 billion South Niagara Hospital project, family doctor recruitment, infrastructure upgrades, and economic initiatives, underpins the market's assessment. Nominations closed on August 21, 2026, confirming a field that includes city councillor Lori Lococo (priced at 15.5 percent), along with lower-profile challengers such as Kevin Martineau and Paul Manning (both at 3.5 percent). Lococo's eight years on council provide the clearest alternative path among opponents, yet the absence of major recent disruptions or high-visibility momentum shifts for any challenger has left the probabilities largely stable. The election is scheduled for October 26, 2026, with advance voting already underway.

The 2026 Niagara Falls, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Niagara Falls, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Niagara Falls, Ontario.
Volume
$606
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Niagara Falls, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Niagara Falls, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Niagara Falls, Ontario.

Related

icon for Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?

Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?

48%
icon for Will Paul Lefebvre win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?

Will Paul Lefebvre win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?

73%
icon for Will Berry Vrbanovic win the 2026 Kitchener mayoral election?

Will Berry Vrbanovic win the 2026 Kitchener mayoral election?

88%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Niagara Falls, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jim Diodati" at 83%, followed by "Lori Lococo" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Niagara Falls, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Niagara Falls, ON Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Niagara Falls, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is "Jim Diodati" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lori Lococo" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Niagara Falls, ON Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.