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# of seats won by PB in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?

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# of seats won by PB in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?

95+ 38%

85-89 27%

90-94 17%

80-84 13%

Polymarket

$46,299 Vol.

95+ 38%

85-89 27%

90-94 17%

80-84 13%

Polymarket

$46,299 Vol.

<75

$1,183 Vol.

3%

75-79

$1,689 Vol.

1%

80-84

$9,453 Vol.

13%

85-89

$8,721 Vol.

27%

90-94

$6,793 Vol.

26%

95+

$18,460 Vol.

38%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus favors Progressive Bulgaria (PB) securing 85-95+ seats in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly, reflecting recent polls projecting around 90 seats amid the April 19 snap election—the eighth since 2021 following the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation over budget protests and corruption allegations. A Center for Analysis and Marketing (CAM) survey from April 3-14 showed PB at 32.1% support among decided voters, translating to 90 seats, ahead of GERB (19.4%, 54 seats) and others; similar results from Market LINKS (36.7%) and Sova Harris (33.6%, 94 seats) reinforce this lead on ex-President Rumen Radev's anti-establishment, anti-graft platform. Intensified vote-buying crackdowns since mid-March, with over €1 million seized, add uncertainty to turnout in the proportional representation system requiring a 4% threshold, though no coalition majority appears viable.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$46,299
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus favors Progressive Bulgaria (PB) securing 85-95+ seats in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly, reflecting recent polls projecting around 90 seats amid the April 19 snap election—the eighth since 2021 following the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation over budget protests and corruption allegations. A Center for Analysis and Marketing (CAM) survey from April 3-14 showed PB at 32.1% support among decided voters, translating to 90 seats, ahead of GERB (19.4%, 54 seats) and others; similar results from Market LINKS (36.7%) and Sova Harris (33.6%, 94 seats) reinforce this lead on ex-President Rumen Radev's anti-establishment, anti-graft platform. Intensified vote-buying crackdowns since mid-March, with over €1 million seized, add uncertainty to turnout in the proportional representation system requiring a 4% threshold, though no coalition majority appears viable.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$46,299
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"# of seats won by PB in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "95+" at 38%, followed by "85-89" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of seats won by PB in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?" has generated $46.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of seats won by PB in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of seats won by PB in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?" is "95+" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "85-89" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of seats won by PB in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.