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icon for OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

icon for OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

54% chance
Polymarket

$28,459 Vol.

54% chance
Polymarket

$28,459 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s recent investor outreach for a potential pre-IPO funding round at $1.2–1.5 trillion valuations has anchored trader consensus around the 72% market-implied odds for reaching $1T+ in 2026. The company’s March 2026 round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation with $122 billion committed, followed by a confidential S-1 filing in June and a $7 billion tender reaffirming that level. Annualized revenue exceeded $40 billion by August, driven by Codex adoption and new GPT-6 models including Astra and Sol, while CEO Sam Altman has signaled willingness to delay the IPO into 2027 rather than list below $1 trillion. These factors, alongside continued infrastructure spending and competitive AI momentum, sustain the probability despite execution risks around margins and regulatory scrutiny.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,459
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s recent investor outreach for a potential pre-IPO funding round at $1.2–1.5 trillion valuations has anchored trader consensus around the 72% market-implied odds for reaching $1T+ in 2026. The company’s March 2026 round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation with $122 billion committed, followed by a confidential S-1 filing in June and a $7 billion tender reaffirming that level. Annualized revenue exceeded $40 billion by August, driven by Codex adoption and new GPT-6 models including Astra and Sol, while CEO Sam Altman has signaled willingness to delay the IPO into 2027 rather than list below $1 trillion. These factors, alongside continued infrastructure spending and competitive AI momentum, sustain the probability despite execution risks around margins and regulatory scrutiny.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,459
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 70% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 70¢, the market collectively assigns a 70% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" has generated $28.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" is 70% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 70% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.