Skip to main content
icon for Piauí Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Piauí Governor Election Winner

icon for Piauí Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Piauí Governor Election Winner

Santiago Belizário 44%

Professor Jurity 43%

Ravenna da Inclusão 43%

Professor Gisvaldo 43%

Polymarket
NEW

Santiago Belizário 44%

Professor Jurity 43%

Ravenna da Inclusão 43%

Professor Gisvaldo 43%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Santiago Belizário

Santiago Belizário

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Professor Jurity

Professor Jurity

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Ravenna da Inclusão

Ravenna da Inclusão

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Professor Gisvaldo

Professor Gisvaldo

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Gustavo Feijó

Gustavo Feijó

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Rafael Fonteles

Rafael Fonteles

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Geraldo Carvalho

Geraldo Carvalho

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Lourdes Melo

Lourdes Melo

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Dra. Lúcia Santos

Dra. Lúcia Santos

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Elizeu Aguiar

Elizeu Aguiar

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Joel Rodrigues

Joel Rodrigues

$0 Vol.

38%

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of more than ten registered candidates for Piauí's October 2026 gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with no single contender securing a decisive edge in market pricing. Recent party conventions and the close of candidate registration deadlines have formalized a broad slate—including incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) alongside challengers such as Joel Rodrigues, Geraldo Carvalho, and others—without clear coalition consolidation or major endorsements that would shift momentum. Brazilian rules requiring a first-round majority or runoff qualification amplify uncertainty around vote splitting and alliance negotiations, sustaining even implied probabilities near 40-50% across names. Upcoming polling releases and formal alliance announcements in the coming weeks could create separation by clarifying paths to the top two spots.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of more than ten registered candidates for Piauí's October 2026 gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with no single contender securing a decisive edge in market pricing. Recent party conventions and the close of candidate registration deadlines have formalized a broad slate—including incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) alongside challengers such as Joel Rodrigues, Geraldo Carvalho, and others—without clear coalition consolidation or major endorsements that would shift momentum. Brazilian rules requiring a first-round majority or runoff qualification amplify uncertainty around vote splitting and alliance negotiations, sustaining even implied probabilities near 40-50% across names. Upcoming polling releases and formal alliance announcements in the coming weeks could create separation by clarifying paths to the top two spots.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Related

icon for Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?

Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?

75%
icon for Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?

Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?

87%
icon for Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

97%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Piauí Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Santiago Belizário" at 44%, followed by "Professor Jurity" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Piauí Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Piauí Governor Election Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Piauí Governor Election Winner" is "Santiago Belizário" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Professor Jurity" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Piauí Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.