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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 40.4%

Marco Rubio 22.9%

Ron DeSantis 2.6%

Donald Trump 2.1%

Polymarket

$371,241,398 Vol.

J.D. Vance 40.4%

Marco Rubio 22.9%

Ron DeSantis 2.6%

Donald Trump 2.1%

Polymarket

$371,241,398 Vol.

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J.D. Vance

$5,172,753 Vol.

40%

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Marco Rubio

$5,209,042 Vol.

23%

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Ron DeSantis

$5,109,859 Vol.

3%

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Donald Trump

$5,249,902 Vol.

2%

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Thomas Massie

$1,914,662 Vol.

2%

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Tucker Carlson

$3,180,149 Vol.

2%

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Glenn Youngkin

$4,269,400 Vol.

1%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$3,795,103 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$10,856,792 Vol.

1%

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Ted Cruz

$7,470,459 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$19,439,421 Vol.

1%

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Matt Gaetz

$13,686,260 Vol.

1%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$2,738,931 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$14,706,933 Vol.

1%

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Brian Kemp

$8,214,252 Vol.

1%

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Tom Brady

$22,533,475 Vol.

1%

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Rand Paul

$14,282,781 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$7,857,593 Vol.

1%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$19,702,705 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$5,058,383 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$3,885,860 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$20,619,495 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$18,516,803 Vol.

1%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$9,328,118 Vol.

1%

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Byron Donalds

$16,062,062 Vol.

1%

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Josh Hawley

$11,749,339 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$1,921,793 Vol.

1%

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John Thune

$24,199,982 Vol.

1%

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Kristi Noem

$21,461,331 Vol.

1%

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Steve Bannon

$11,393,247 Vol.

1%

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Elise Stefanik

$17,959,364 Vol.

1%

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Erika Kirk

$6,302,459 Vol.

1%

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Mike Pence

$27,392,688 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$371,241,398
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 33 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 40%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $371.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 33 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.