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Politics·Main Election

Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Main Election

Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place

Dr. Fernando Máximo 37%

Luciana Oliveira 26%

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 24%

Luis Fernando 22%

Polymarket
NEW

Dr. Fernando Máximo 37%

Luciana Oliveira 26%

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 24%

Luis Fernando 22%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Dr. Fernando Máximo

Dr. Fernando Máximo

$20 Vol.

25%

icon for Luciana Oliveira

Luciana Oliveira

$47 Vol.

26%

icon for Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid

$20 Vol.

24%

icon for Luis Fernando

Luis Fernando

$20 Vol.

22%

icon for Mariana Carvalho

Mariana Carvalho

$20 Vol.

22%

icon for Engenheiro Thulio

Engenheiro Thulio

$74 Vol.

21%

icon for Sílvia Cristina

Sílvia Cristina

$20 Vol.

21%

icon for Acir Gurgacz

Acir Gurgacz

$20 Vol.

19%

icon for Aires Mota

Aires Mota

$51 Vol.

23%

icon for Neidinha

Neidinha

$70 Vol.

19%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Rondônia's 2026 Senate race show a fragmented field with Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL), Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), Mariana Carvalho, and Confúcio Moura (MDB) trading narrow leads or statistical ties in first- and second-choice scenarios. Multiple viable contenders from major parties, combined with sizable undecided and null segments, sustain the tight contest for first place. Party conventions have formalized candidacies without major consolidations, while regional issues and national alignments continue to shape voter preferences. Upcoming debates and further polling releases through September could shift momentum by clarifying voter priorities or prompting strategic withdrawals. The current trader consensus reflects this ongoing uncertainty ahead of the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$363
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Rondônia's 2026 Senate race show a fragmented field with Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL), Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), Mariana Carvalho, and Confúcio Moura (MDB) trading narrow leads or statistical ties in first- and second-choice scenarios. Multiple viable contenders from major parties, combined with sizable undecided and null segments, sustain the tight contest for first place. Party conventions have formalized candidacies without major consolidations, while regional issues and national alignments continue to shape voter preferences. Upcoming debates and further polling releases through September could shift momentum by clarifying voter priorities or prompting strategic withdrawals. The current trader consensus reflects this ongoing uncertainty ahead of the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$363
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Luciana Oliveira" at 26%, followed by "Dr. Fernando Máximo" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Luciana Oliveira" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dr. Fernando Máximo" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.