Spider-Man: Brand New Day's sixth weekend gross of $18.2 million, down just 19% amid theater reductions, underscores the sharp drop-off typical for summer blockbusters entering September. With back-to-school timing, audience fatigue after six weeks at number one, and domestic totals nearing $926 million, traders see limited upside for the seventh frame. Historical patterns for high-grossing superhero films show accelerating weekly declines once the initial surge fades, pushing the market-implied odds heavily toward sub-$9 million while leaving modest room for a surprise hold if word-of-mouth sustains. Upcoming chart updates and any new wide releases will serve as key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office
<9m 81%
9-10m 11%
10-11m 5.6%
11-12m 2.1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<9m
81%
9-10m
11%
10-11m
6%
11-12m
2%
12m+
1%
<9m 81%
9-10m 11%
10-11m 5.6%
11-12m 2.1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<9m
$762 Vol.
81%
9-10m
$535 Vol.
11%
10-11m
$403 Vol.
6%
11-12m
$302 Vol.
2%
12m+
$307 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's sixth weekend gross of $18.2 million, down just 19% amid theater reductions, underscores the sharp drop-off typical for summer blockbusters entering September. With back-to-school timing, audience fatigue after six weeks at number one, and domestic totals nearing $926 million, traders see limited upside for the seventh frame. Historical patterns for high-grossing superhero films show accelerating weekly declines once the initial surge fades, pushing the market-implied odds heavily toward sub-$9 million while leaving modest room for a surprise hold if word-of-mouth sustains. Upcoming chart updates and any new wide releases will serve as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ET
Volume
$2,310End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's sixth weekend gross of $18.2 million, down just 19% amid theater reductions, underscores the sharp drop-off typical for summer blockbusters entering September. With back-to-school timing, audience fatigue after six weeks at number one, and domestic totals nearing $926 million, traders see limited upside for the seventh frame. Historical patterns for high-grossing superhero films show accelerating weekly declines once the initial surge fades, pushing the market-implied odds heavily toward sub-$9 million while leaving modest room for a surprise hold if word-of-mouth sustains. Upcoming chart updates and any new wide releases will serve as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,310End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's sixth weekend gross of $18.2 million, down just 19% amid theater reductions, underscores the sharp drop-off typical for summer blockbusters entering September. With back-to-school timing, audience fatigue after six weeks at number one, and domestic totals nearing $926 million, traders see limited upside for the seventh frame. Historical patterns for high-grossing superhero films show accelerating weekly declines once the initial surge fades, pushing the market-implied odds heavily toward sub-$9 million while leaving modest room for a surprise hold if word-of-mouth sustains. Upcoming chart updates and any new wide releases will serve as key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions