**The Uprising** faces subdued opening-weekend expectations, with traders heavily favoring a sub-$4.5 million domestic debut at 57.5% implied probability. As a mid-budget R-rated historical action drama from Focus Features and Blumhouse, the Paul Greengrass-directed film lacks major franchise backing or broad commercial hooks despite Andrew Garfield’s star power and its loose ties to the Robin Hood legend. Limited presales data, minimal early critical or audience tracking, and competition from other September releases reinforce the cautious consensus. The brief U.S. marketing rebrand emphasizing Robin Hood elements has not generated significant momentum. With the wide release set for September 10–11, the market reflects the challenges typical period pieces encounter in securing strong theatrical launches absent exceptional word-of-mouth or event positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office
<4.5m 57%
4.5-5.5m 23%
5.5-6.5m 14%
7.5m+ 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<4.5m
57%
4.5-5.5m
23%
5.5-6.5m
14%
6.5-7.5m
8%
7.5m+
14%
<4.5m 57%
4.5-5.5m 23%
5.5-6.5m 14%
7.5m+ 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<4.5m
$0 Vol.
57%
4.5-5.5m
$0 Vol.
23%
5.5-6.5m
$0 Vol.
14%
6.5-7.5m
$0 Vol.
8%
7.5m+
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The Uprising** faces subdued opening-weekend expectations, with traders heavily favoring a sub-$4.5 million domestic debut at 57.5% implied probability. As a mid-budget R-rated historical action drama from Focus Features and Blumhouse, the Paul Greengrass-directed film lacks major franchise backing or broad commercial hooks despite Andrew Garfield’s star power and its loose ties to the Robin Hood legend. Limited presales data, minimal early critical or audience tracking, and competition from other September releases reinforce the cautious consensus. The brief U.S. marketing rebrand emphasizing Robin Hood elements has not generated significant momentum. With the wide release set for September 10–11, the market reflects the challenges typical period pieces encounter in securing strong theatrical launches absent exceptional word-of-mouth or event positioning.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The Uprising** faces subdued opening-weekend expectations, with traders heavily favoring a sub-$4.5 million domestic debut at 57.5% implied probability. As a mid-budget R-rated historical action drama from Focus Features and Blumhouse, the Paul Greengrass-directed film lacks major franchise backing or broad commercial hooks despite Andrew Garfield’s star power and its loose ties to the Robin Hood legend. Limited presales data, minimal early critical or audience tracking, and competition from other September releases reinforce the cautious consensus. The brief U.S. marketing rebrand emphasizing Robin Hood elements has not generated significant momentum. With the wide release set for September 10–11, the market reflects the challenges typical period pieces encounter in securing strong theatrical launches absent exceptional word-of-mouth or event positioning.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Uprising** faces subdued opening-weekend expectations, with traders heavily favoring a sub-$4.5 million domestic debut at 57.5% implied probability. As a mid-budget R-rated historical action drama from Focus Features and Blumhouse, the Paul Greengrass-directed film lacks major franchise backing or broad commercial hooks despite Andrew Garfield’s star power and its loose ties to the Robin Hood legend. Limited presales data, minimal early critical or audience tracking, and competition from other September releases reinforce the cautious consensus. The brief U.S. marketing rebrand emphasizing Robin Hood elements has not generated significant momentum. With the wide release set for September 10–11, the market reflects the challenges typical period pieces encounter in securing strong theatrical launches absent exceptional word-of-mouth or event positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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