Recent national surveys released in late May have shown President Trump's job approval reaching new second-term lows, including 34 percent in the Economist/YouGov poll and 37-39 percent across NYT/Siena, Emerson, and other trackers conducted May 22-26. These results reflect ongoing voter concerns over economic conditions and U.S. military involvement abroad. With no major offsetting announcements or events in the immediate window, traders have assigned 68 percent probability to a weekly decline, consistent with the downward momentum captured in the most recent polling data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUp
$632 Vol.
$632 Vol.
May 29, 2026
Up
$632 Vol.
$632 Vol.
May 29, 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 29, 2026, than on May 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 22, 2026, than on May 29, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national surveys released in late May have shown President Trump's job approval reaching new second-term lows, including 34 percent in the Economist/YouGov poll and 37-39 percent across NYT/Siena, Emerson, and other trackers conducted May 22-26. These results reflect ongoing voter concerns over economic conditions and U.S. military involvement abroad. With no major offsetting announcements or events in the immediate window, traders have assigned 68 percent probability to a weekly decline, consistent with the downward momentum captured in the most recent polling data.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 29, 2026, than on May 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 22, 2026, than on May 29, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 22, 2026, than on May 29, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volume
$632End Date
May 29, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Down
No dispute
Final outcome: Down
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 29, 2026, than on May 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 22, 2026, than on May 29, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national surveys released in late May have shown President Trump's job approval reaching new second-term lows, including 34 percent in the Economist/YouGov poll and 37-39 percent across NYT/Siena, Emerson, and other trackers conducted May 22-26. These results reflect ongoing voter concerns over economic conditions and U.S. military involvement abroad. With no major offsetting announcements or events in the immediate window, traders have assigned 68 percent probability to a weekly decline, consistent with the downward momentum captured in the most recent polling data.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 29, 2026, than on May 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 22, 2026, than on May 29, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 22, 2026, than on May 29, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$632End Date
May 29, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Down
No dispute
Final outcome: Down
Recent national surveys released in late May have shown President Trump's job approval reaching new second-term lows, including 34 percent in the Economist/YouGov poll and 37-39 percent across NYT/Siena, Emerson, and other trackers conducted May 22-26. These results reflect ongoing voter concerns over economic conditions and U.S. military involvement abroad. With no major offsetting announcements or events in the immediate window, traders have assigned 68 percent probability to a weekly decline, consistent with the downward momentum captured in the most recent polling data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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