Trump’s approval rating has fallen to the low-to-mid 30s in recent polling aggregates amid sustained public concern over economic conditions and foreign policy. The U.S. conflict with Iran, which escalated earlier in 2026 and disrupted global oil flows, has kept gasoline prices elevated and fueled broad dissatisfaction with the administration’s handling of inflation and the cost of living. Additional pressure stems from new tariffs, including those targeting Canadian goods, which have drawn criticism even from some Republican voters and contributed to perceptions of weakening economic momentum ahead of the November midterms. These developments have driven net approval to roughly -18 to -26 points across major trackers, with limited signs of near-term recovery absent a durable ceasefire or easing price pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$133,606 Vol.
35%
25%
30%
5%
25%
5%
20%
3%
$133,606 Vol.
35%
25%
30%
5%
25%
5%
20%
3%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s approval rating has fallen to the low-to-mid 30s in recent polling aggregates amid sustained public concern over economic conditions and foreign policy. The U.S. conflict with Iran, which escalated earlier in 2026 and disrupted global oil flows, has kept gasoline prices elevated and fueled broad dissatisfaction with the administration’s handling of inflation and the cost of living. Additional pressure stems from new tariffs, including those targeting Canadian goods, which have drawn criticism even from some Republican voters and contributed to perceptions of weakening economic momentum ahead of the November midterms. These developments have driven net approval to roughly -18 to -26 points across major trackers, with limited signs of near-term recovery absent a durable ceasefire or easing price pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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