President Trump has intensified claims of foreign election interference through a July 2026 national address releasing declassified intelligence on alleged Chinese data compromises and vulnerabilities in voting systems, while administration actions tie federal grants to election reforms and pursue the SAVE America Act. Allies including Steve Bannon have urged an emergency declaration to assert federal control over procedures ahead of the November midterms, and Trump declined to rule out the option in an August interview. Traders price the probability of a formal National Emergencies Act declaration by year-end at roughly 27 percent, reflecting constitutional limits on executive authority over state-run elections, ongoing court injunctions against related executive orders, and the absence of any such action despite months of public groundwork. Key upcoming catalysts include midterm voting logistics and any further legislative or administrative steps on voter eligibility or mail-in processes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$189,211 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
25%
$189,211 Vol.
December 31
$186,457 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump has intensified claims of foreign election interference through a July 2026 national address releasing declassified intelligence on alleged Chinese data compromises and vulnerabilities in voting systems, while administration actions tie federal grants to election reforms and pursue the SAVE America Act. Allies including Steve Bannon have urged an emergency declaration to assert federal control over procedures ahead of the November midterms, and Trump declined to rule out the option in an August interview. Traders price the probability of a formal National Emergencies Act declaration by year-end at roughly 27 percent, reflecting constitutional limits on executive authority over state-run elections, ongoing court injunctions against related executive orders, and the absence of any such action despite months of public groundwork. Key upcoming catalysts include midterm voting logistics and any further legislative or administrative steps on voter eligibility or mail-in processes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 26, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Volume
$189,211End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump has intensified claims of foreign election interference through a July 2026 national address releasing declassified intelligence on alleged Chinese data compromises and vulnerabilities in voting systems, while administration actions tie federal grants to election reforms and pursue the SAVE America Act. Allies including Steve Bannon have urged an emergency declaration to assert federal control over procedures ahead of the November midterms, and Trump declined to rule out the option in an August interview. Traders price the probability of a formal National Emergencies Act declaration by year-end at roughly 27 percent, reflecting constitutional limits on executive authority over state-run elections, ongoing court injunctions against related executive orders, and the absence of any such action despite months of public groundwork. Key upcoming catalysts include midterm voting logistics and any further legislative or administrative steps on voter eligibility or mail-in processes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$189,211End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has intensified claims of foreign election interference through a July 2026 national address releasing declassified intelligence on alleged Chinese data compromises and vulnerabilities in voting systems, while administration actions tie federal grants to election reforms and pursue the SAVE America Act. Allies including Steve Bannon have urged an emergency declaration to assert federal control over procedures ahead of the November midterms, and Trump declined to rule out the option in an August interview. Traders price the probability of a formal National Emergencies Act declaration by year-end at roughly 27 percent, reflecting constitutional limits on executive authority over state-run elections, ongoing court injunctions against related executive orders, and the absence of any such action despite months of public groundwork. Key upcoming catalysts include midterm voting logistics and any further legislative or administrative steps on voter eligibility or mail-in processes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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