Polymarket traders reflect deep uncertainty in Tesla (TSLA) week-of-April-20 closing share price odds, with closely matched ~49.5% implied probabilities across bins from below $365 to above $410, driven by volatility ahead of Q1 earnings on April 22. Shares rallied to $400.62 (+3.01% intraday April 17, day's high $409.28), snapping an eight-week losing streak on FSD "Streaks" gamification launch, Dutch approval, and upgrades like UBS to Neutral ($352 target) and TD Cowen Buy ($490), amid lowered EPS bar (~$0.38, revenue ~$22.3B). Weak Q1 deliveries, 164,000-unit inventory pileup, EV demand softness, and robotaxi/Optimus delays versus AI capex heighten risks; earnings guidance on Full Self-Driving ramp and autonomy will be pivotal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTesla (TSLA) closes week of Apr 20 at ___?
Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Apr 20 at ___?
$375-$380 46%
<$365 46%
$380-$385 46%
$405-$410 46%
NEW
NEW
Apr 24, 2026
<$365
46%
$365-$370
44%
$370-$375
45%
$375-$380
46%
$380-$385
46%
$385-$390
43%
$390-$395
44%
$395-$400
44%
$400-$405
44%
$405-$410
46%
>$410
44%
$375-$380 46%
<$365 46%
$380-$385 46%
$405-$410 46%
NEW
NEW
Apr 24, 2026
<$365
$0 Vol.
46%
$365-$370
$0 Vol.
44%
$370-$375
$0 Vol.
45%
$375-$380
$0 Vol.
46%
$380-$385
$0 Vol.
46%
$385-$390
$0 Vol.
43%
$390-$395
$0 Vol.
44%
$395-$400
$0 Vol.
44%
$400-$405
$0 Vol.
44%
$405-$410
$0 Vol.
46%
>$410
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders reflect deep uncertainty in Tesla (TSLA) week-of-April-20 closing share price odds, with closely matched ~49.5% implied probabilities across bins from below $365 to above $410, driven by volatility ahead of Q1 earnings on April 22. Shares rallied to $400.62 (+3.01% intraday April 17, day's high $409.28), snapping an eight-week losing streak on FSD "Streaks" gamification launch, Dutch approval, and upgrades like UBS to Neutral ($352 target) and TD Cowen Buy ($490), amid lowered EPS bar (~$0.38, revenue ~$22.3B). Weak Q1 deliveries, 164,000-unit inventory pileup, EV demand softness, and robotaxi/Optimus delays versus AI capex heighten risks; earnings guidance on Full Self-Driving ramp and autonomy will be pivotal.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Apr 24, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders reflect deep uncertainty in Tesla (TSLA) week-of-April-20 closing share price odds, with closely matched ~49.5% implied probabilities across bins from below $365 to above $410, driven by volatility ahead of Q1 earnings on April 22. Shares rallied to $400.62 (+3.01% intraday April 17, day's high $409.28), snapping an eight-week losing streak on FSD "Streaks" gamification launch, Dutch approval, and upgrades like UBS to Neutral ($352 target) and TD Cowen Buy ($490), amid lowered EPS bar (~$0.38, revenue ~$22.3B). Weak Q1 deliveries, 164,000-unit inventory pileup, EV demand softness, and robotaxi/Optimus delays versus AI capex heighten risks; earnings guidance on Full Self-Driving ramp and autonomy will be pivotal.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0End Date
Apr 24, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders reflect deep uncertainty in Tesla (TSLA) week-of-April-20 closing share price odds, with closely matched ~49.5% implied probabilities across bins from below $365 to above $410, driven by volatility ahead of Q1 earnings on April 22. Shares rallied to $400.62 (+3.01% intraday April 17, day's high $409.28), snapping an eight-week losing streak on FSD "Streaks" gamification launch, Dutch approval, and upgrades like UBS to Neutral ($352 target) and TD Cowen Buy ($490), amid lowered EPS bar (~$0.38, revenue ~$22.3B). Weak Q1 deliveries, 164,000-unit inventory pileup, EV demand softness, and robotaxi/Optimus delays versus AI capex heighten risks; earnings guidance on Full Self-Driving ramp and autonomy will be pivotal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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