US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing former President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges, with supporting airstrikes on air defenses and infrastructure. Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency amid a declared state of emergency, while the US shifted from maximum-pressure tactics—including prior naval deployments and maritime strikes—to partial sanctions relief on Venezuelan oil and reopening of diplomatic channels, including embassy operations by March 2026. Prisoner releases and bilateral talks have followed, though regional reactions remain divided and questions persist over long-term US involvement in oil infrastructure and counternarcotics enforcement. No additional large-scale US troop entries have occurred since the initial raid, with trader focus now on whether renewed tensions or policy shifts could prompt further deployments before key resolution dates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$1,315,649 Vol.
31 jan 2026
30 de junho
9%
$1,315,649 Vol.
30 de junho
$230,887 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing former President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges, with supporting airstrikes on air defenses and infrastructure. Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency amid a declared state of emergency, while the US shifted from maximum-pressure tactics—including prior naval deployments and maritime strikes—to partial sanctions relief on Venezuelan oil and reopening of diplomatic channels, including embassy operations by March 2026. Prisoner releases and bilateral talks have followed, though regional reactions remain divided and questions persist over long-term US involvement in oil infrastructure and counternarcotics enforcement. No additional large-scale US troop entries have occurred since the initial raid, with trader focus now on whether renewed tensions or policy shifts could prompt further deployments before key resolution dates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,315,649Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing former President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges, with supporting airstrikes on air defenses and infrastructure. Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency amid a declared state of emergency, while the US shifted from maximum-pressure tactics—including prior naval deployments and maritime strikes—to partial sanctions relief on Venezuelan oil and reopening of diplomatic channels, including embassy operations by March 2026. Prisoner releases and bilateral talks have followed, though regional reactions remain divided and questions persist over long-term US involvement in oil infrastructure and counternarcotics enforcement. No additional large-scale US troop entries have occurred since the initial raid, with trader focus now on whether renewed tensions or policy shifts could prompt further deployments before key resolution dates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,315,649Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing former President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges, with supporting airstrikes on air defenses and infrastructure. Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency amid a declared state of emergency, while the US shifted from maximum-pressure tactics—including prior naval deployments and maritime strikes—to partial sanctions relief on Venezuelan oil and reopening of diplomatic channels, including embassy operations by March 2026. Prisoner releases and bilateral talks have followed, though regional reactions remain divided and questions persist over long-term US involvement in oil infrastructure and counternarcotics enforcement. No additional large-scale US troop entries have occurred since the initial raid, with trader focus now on whether renewed tensions or policy shifts could prompt further deployments before key resolution dates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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