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icon for As forças dos EUA entram na Venezuela novamente por...?

As forças dos EUA entram na Venezuela novamente por...?

icon for As forças dos EUA entram na Venezuela novamente por...?

As forças dos EUA entram na Venezuela novamente por...?

jun 30

jun 30

$1,315,649 Vol.

31 jan 2026
Polymarket

$1,315,649 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junho

$230,887 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing former President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges, with supporting airstrikes on air defenses and infrastructure. Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency amid a declared state of emergency, while the US shifted from maximum-pressure tactics—including prior naval deployments and maritime strikes—to partial sanctions relief on Venezuelan oil and reopening of diplomatic channels, including embassy operations by March 2026. Prisoner releases and bilateral talks have followed, though regional reactions remain divided and questions persist over long-term US involvement in oil infrastructure and counternarcotics enforcement. No additional large-scale US troop entries have occurred since the initial raid, with trader focus now on whether renewed tensions or policy shifts could prompt further deployments before key resolution dates.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,315,649
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing former President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges, with supporting airstrikes on air defenses and infrastructure. Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency amid a declared state of emergency, while the US shifted from maximum-pressure tactics—including prior naval deployments and maritime strikes—to partial sanctions relief on Venezuelan oil and reopening of diplomatic channels, including embassy operations by March 2026. Prisoner releases and bilateral talks have followed, though regional reactions remain divided and questions persist over long-term US involvement in oil infrastructure and counternarcotics enforcement. No additional large-scale US troop entries have occurred since the initial raid, with trader focus now on whether renewed tensions or policy shifts could prompt further deployments before key resolution dates.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,315,649
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"As forças dos EUA entram na Venezuela novamente por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de junho" at 9%, followed by "10 de janeiro" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "As forças dos EUA entram na Venezuela novamente por...?" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "As forças dos EUA entram na Venezuela novamente por...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "As forças dos EUA entram na Venezuela novamente por...?" is "30 de junho" at just 9%, with "10 de janeiro" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "As forças dos EUA entram na Venezuela novamente por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.