U.S. policy continues to emphasize support for Israel and Gaza stabilization through coordination centers, logistical aid, and multinational arrangements rather than direct troop deployments inside the territory. Official statements from U.S. Central Command and the White House have repeatedly clarified that American military personnel will operate outside Gaza to facilitate humanitarian and security assistance, aligning with plans for an international stabilization force composed primarily of troops from countries such as Indonesia. Recent developments, including ongoing ceasefire implementation and base construction near the Gaza border for oversight functions, reinforce this approach without crossing into physical presence within the enclave. Traders assign an 86.5% probability to “No” based on this consistent pattern of limited U.S. ground involvement, historical aversion to new Middle East commitments, and reliance on partner nations for on-the-ground roles through the end of 2026.