Recent reporting from sources close to the process has positioned SPCX as the frontrunner for SpaceX’s Nasdaq debut, driving the overwhelming 97.8% market-implied odds on the “Other” category that includes this ticker. SpaceX filed its S-1 with the SEC in April and accelerated its timeline after a swift regulatory review, targeting a prospectus release next week, a June 4 roadshow, and pricing as early as June 11 for a June 12 listing at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation. This momentum reflects the company’s strong Starlink revenue trajectory and integration of artificial-intelligence capabilities across its launch and satellite platforms. While the consensus appears robust, last-minute ticker changes, SEC comments, or shifts in listing venue remain plausible variables that could still alter the outcome before trading begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOther (incl $SPCX) 97.8%
$X <1%
$SEX <1%
$SPAX <1%
$6,381,770 Vol.
$6,381,770 Vol.
Other (incl $SPCX)
98%
$X
1%
$SEX
<1%
$SPAX
<1%
$SX
<1%
$MARS
<1%
$STAR
<1%
$SPC
<1%
$SPACE
<1%
Other (incl $SPCX) 97.8%
$X <1%
$SEX <1%
$SPAX <1%
$6,381,770 Vol.
$6,381,770 Vol.
Other (incl $SPCX)
98%
$X
1%
$SEX
<1%
$SPAX
<1%
$SX
<1%
$MARS
<1%
$STAR
<1%
$SPC
<1%
$SPACE
<1%
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent reporting from sources close to the process has positioned SPCX as the frontrunner for SpaceX’s Nasdaq debut, driving the overwhelming 97.8% market-implied odds on the “Other” category that includes this ticker. SpaceX filed its S-1 with the SEC in April and accelerated its timeline after a swift regulatory review, targeting a prospectus release next week, a June 4 roadshow, and pricing as early as June 11 for a June 12 listing at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation. This momentum reflects the company’s strong Starlink revenue trajectory and integration of artificial-intelligence capabilities across its launch and satellite platforms. While the consensus appears robust, last-minute ticker changes, SEC comments, or shifts in listing venue remain plausible variables that could still alter the outcome before trading begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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