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What will Trump say during press conference on March 9?

Market icon

What will Trump say during press conference on March 9?

$639,862 Vol.

Mar 9, 2026
Polymarket

$639,862 Vol.

Polymarket

Iran 5+ times

$170,426 Vol.

Yes

Nuclear 3+ times

$77,416 Vol.

Yes

Oil 5+ times

$69,470 Vol.

Yes

Israel 3+ times

$7,734 Vol.

Yes

Gas / Gasoline

$4,611 Vol.

Yes

Houthi / Yemen

$2,090 Vol.

No

Energy

$34,726 Vol.

Yes

Biden

$8,668 Vol.

Yes

Middle East

$3,286 Vol.

Yes

Russia / Russian

$1,711 Vol.

Yes

China

$3,944 Vol.

Yes

Tanker

$1,767 Vol.

Yes

Barrel

$1,426 Vol.

Yes

Drone

$5,966 Vol.

Yes

Six Seven

$1,539 Vol.

No

Hormuz

$6,126 Vol.

Yes

Bibi / Netanyahu

$103,136 Vol.

No

Eight war / Eighth war

$101,902 Vol.

No

Epic Fury

$6,026 Vol.

Yes

Kurd / Kurdish

$1,333 Vol.

No

Khamenei / Ayatollah

$10,247 Vol.

No

Ceasefire

$1,444 Vol.

No

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$2,039 Vol.

No

Australia / Australian

$1,569 Vol.

No

Jesus

$629 Vol.

No

-No Qualifying Event-

$10,631 Vol.

No

Donald Trump is scheduled to host a press conference on March 9, 2026 at 5:30PM ET (https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-says-he-will-hold-press-conference-monday-2026-03-09/.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the press conference scheduled for March 9, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's press conference scheduled for March 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$639,862
End Date
Mar 9, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to host a press conference on March 9, 2026 at 5:30PM ET (https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-says-he-will-hold-press-conference-monday-2026-03-09/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the press conference scheduled for March 9, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's press conference scheduled for March 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during press conference on March 9? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Iran 5+ times" at 100%, followed by "Nuclear 3+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during press conference on March 9? " has generated $639.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during press conference on March 9? ," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during press conference on March 9? " is "Iran 5+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nuclear 3+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during press conference on March 9? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.