President Donald Trump is actively reviewing a new 14-point Iranian peace proposal submitted last week to end the ongoing war, expressing dissatisfaction yesterday and emphasizing that military options remain on the table amid stalled diplomacy. This follows his May 1 speech at the Forum Club of the Palm Beaches, where he addressed domestic and foreign policy concerns amid protests over Iran and immigration, and remarks during a state dinner with King Charles III praising golfer Rory McIlroy. Traders monitor Trump's daily Truth Social posts, press gaggles, and potential comments at events like the PGA Cadillac Championship for key phrases on escalation, ceasefire, or de-escalation, with no major public schedule announced for May 4-9 but ongoing Iran negotiations as a primary catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$81,222 Vol.
May 3, 2026
Make America Great Again
Yes
Transgender
Yes
Jerome Too Late
Yes
Scotland
Yes
Golf / Golfer
Yes
Paper tiger
Yes
Drill baby drill
Yes
TrumpRX
Yes
Harry
No
Ceasefire
Yes
Peacemaker
No
Language
Yes
Alaska
Yes
Peace in the Middle East
No
Lunatic
Yes
Radical Left
Yes
Failing New York Times
No
Pouring Into Our Country
Yes
Justice
Yes
My Father / My Mother
Yes
Marble / Granite
Yes
$81,222 Vol.
Make America Great Again
$4,454 Vol.
Yes
Transgender
$7,721 Vol.
Yes
Jerome Too Late
$11,089 Vol.
Yes
Scotland
$1,053 Vol.
Yes
Golf / Golfer
$1,892 Vol.
Yes
Paper tiger
$4,894 Vol.
Yes
Drill baby drill
$13,708 Vol.
Yes
TrumpRX
$717 Vol.
Yes
Harry
$2,524 Vol.
No
Ceasefire
$2,605 Vol.
Yes
Peacemaker
$3,393 Vol.
No
Language
$351 Vol.
Yes
Alaska
$1,910 Vol.
Yes
Peace in the Middle East
$3,749 Vol.
No
Lunatic
$1,711 Vol.
Yes
Radical Left
$1,249 Vol.
Yes
Failing New York Times
$4,868 Vol.
No
Pouring Into Our Country
$418 Vol.
Yes
Justice
$708 Vol.
Yes
My Father / My Mother
$6,629 Vol.
Yes
Marble / Granite
$5,578 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Donald Trump is actively reviewing a new 14-point Iranian peace proposal submitted last week to end the ongoing war, expressing dissatisfaction yesterday and emphasizing that military options remain on the table amid stalled diplomacy. This follows his May 1 speech at the Forum Club of the Palm Beaches, where he addressed domestic and foreign policy concerns amid protests over Iran and immigration, and remarks during a state dinner with King Charles III praising golfer Rory McIlroy. Traders monitor Trump's daily Truth Social posts, press gaggles, and potential comments at events like the PGA Cadillac Championship for key phrases on escalation, ceasefire, or de-escalation, with no major public schedule announced for May 4-9 but ongoing Iran negotiations as a primary catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Volume
$81,222End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Donald Trump is actively reviewing a new 14-point Iranian peace proposal submitted last week to end the ongoing war, expressing dissatisfaction yesterday and emphasizing that military options remain on the table amid stalled diplomacy. This follows his May 1 speech at the Forum Club of the Palm Beaches, where he addressed domestic and foreign policy concerns amid protests over Iran and immigration, and remarks during a state dinner with King Charles III praising golfer Rory McIlroy. Traders monitor Trump's daily Truth Social posts, press gaggles, and potential comments at events like the PGA Cadillac Championship for key phrases on escalation, ceasefire, or de-escalation, with no major public schedule announced for May 4-9 but ongoing Iran negotiations as a primary catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$81,222End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
President Donald Trump is actively reviewing a new 14-point Iranian peace proposal submitted last week to end the ongoing war, expressing dissatisfaction yesterday and emphasizing that military options remain on the table amid stalled diplomacy. This follows his May 1 speech at the Forum Club of the Palm Beaches, where he addressed domestic and foreign policy concerns amid protests over Iran and immigration, and remarks during a state dinner with King Charles III praising golfer Rory McIlroy. Traders monitor Trump's daily Truth Social posts, press gaggles, and potential comments at events like the PGA Cadillac Championship for key phrases on escalation, ceasefire, or de-escalation, with no major public schedule announced for May 4-9 but ongoing Iran negotiations as a primary catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions