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icon for Which astronauts will be on the Artemis III crew?

Which astronauts will be on the Artemis III crew?

icon for Which astronauts will be on the Artemis III crew?

Which astronauts will be on the Artemis III crew?

$4,833 Vol.

Jun 9, 2026
Polymarket

$4,833 Vol.

Polymarket

Andre Douglas

$210 Vol.

Yes

Matthew Dominick

$340 Vol.

No

Warren Hoburg

$87 Vol.

No

Jessica Meir

$237 Vol.

No

Frank Rubio

$609 Vol.

Yes

Jenni Gibbons

$155 Vol.

No

Takuya Onishi

$175 Vol.

No

Nicole Mann

$344 Vol.

No

Jessica Watkins

$423 Vol.

No

Kimiya Yui

$266 Vol.

No

Raja Chari

$236 Vol.

No

Christina Koch

$451 Vol.

No

Anne McClain

$239 Vol.

No

Kayla Barron

$271 Vol.

No

Victor Glover

$263 Vol.

No

Jonny Kim

$191 Vol.

No

Jasmin Moghbeli

$336 Vol.

No

NASA is scheduled to announce the four Artemis III astronauts on June 9, 2026, 11AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is announced as a member of the Artemis III crew. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only individuals named as part of the four-person astronaut crew will qualify. Announcements of inclusion as part of the ground crew or as understudies will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according only to the initial crew announcement. Changes to the roster after the initial announcement will not be considered. If no announcement of the crew composition takes place by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official announcement from NASA presently scheduled for June 9, 2026, or a consensus of credible reporting.NASA announced the Artemis III crew today, selecting Commander Randy Bresnik, Pilot Luca Parmitano of the European Space Agency, and mission specialists Andre Douglas and Frank Rubio to validate Orion spacecraft systems, docking operations, and other technologies critical for future lunar landings. The picks emphasize veterans with test-pilot experience and extensive spaceflight records to demonstrate capabilities ahead of the 2027 target launch on the Space Launch System rocket. This follows Artemis II's recent success and reflects NASA’s focus on risk reduction through proven expertise amid international partnerships and commercial lander development. Traders should monitor technical milestones and any schedule adjustments that could influence resolution criteria.

NASA is scheduled to announce the four Artemis III astronauts on June 9, 2026, 11AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is announced as a member of the Artemis III crew. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only individuals named as part of the four-person astronaut crew will qualify. Announcements of inclusion as part of the ground crew or as understudies will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according only to the initial crew announcement. Changes to the roster after the initial announcement will not be considered.

If no announcement of the crew composition takes place by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the official announcement from NASA presently scheduled for June 9, 2026, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,833
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 10:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
NASA is scheduled to announce the four Artemis III astronauts on June 9, 2026, 11AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is announced as a member of the Artemis III crew. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only individuals named as part of the four-person astronaut crew will qualify. Announcements of inclusion as part of the ground crew or as understudies will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according only to the initial crew announcement. Changes to the roster after the initial announcement will not be considered. If no announcement of the crew composition takes place by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official announcement from NASA presently scheduled for June 9, 2026, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

NASA is scheduled to announce the four Artemis III astronauts on June 9, 2026, 11AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is announced as a member of the Artemis III crew. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only individuals named as part of the four-person astronaut crew will qualify. Announcements of inclusion as part of the ground crew or as understudies will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according only to the initial crew announcement. Changes to the roster after the initial announcement will not be considered. If no announcement of the crew composition takes place by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official announcement from NASA presently scheduled for June 9, 2026, or a consensus of credible reporting.NASA announced the Artemis III crew today, selecting Commander Randy Bresnik, Pilot Luca Parmitano of the European Space Agency, and mission specialists Andre Douglas and Frank Rubio to validate Orion spacecraft systems, docking operations, and other technologies critical for future lunar landings. The picks emphasize veterans with test-pilot experience and extensive spaceflight records to demonstrate capabilities ahead of the 2027 target launch on the Space Launch System rocket. This follows Artemis II's recent success and reflects NASA’s focus on risk reduction through proven expertise amid international partnerships and commercial lander development. Traders should monitor technical milestones and any schedule adjustments that could influence resolution criteria.

NASA is scheduled to announce the four Artemis III astronauts on June 9, 2026, 11AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is announced as a member of the Artemis III crew. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only individuals named as part of the four-person astronaut crew will qualify. Announcements of inclusion as part of the ground crew or as understudies will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according only to the initial crew announcement. Changes to the roster after the initial announcement will not be considered.

If no announcement of the crew composition takes place by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the official announcement from NASA presently scheduled for June 9, 2026, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,833
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 10:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
NASA is scheduled to announce the four Artemis III astronauts on June 9, 2026, 11AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is announced as a member of the Artemis III crew. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only individuals named as part of the four-person astronaut crew will qualify. Announcements of inclusion as part of the ground crew or as understudies will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according only to the initial crew announcement. Changes to the roster after the initial announcement will not be considered. If no announcement of the crew composition takes place by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official announcement from NASA presently scheduled for June 9, 2026, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which astronauts will be on the Artemis III crew?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andre Douglas" at 100%, followed by "Frank Rubio" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Which astronauts will be on the Artemis III crew?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Which astronauts will be on the Artemis III crew?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which astronauts will be on the Artemis III crew?" is "Andre Douglas" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Frank Rubio" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which astronauts will be on the Artemis III crew?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.