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Who will attend the Met Gala?

icon for Who will attend the Met Gala?

Who will attend the Met Gala?

$19,539 Vol.

May 4, 2026
Polymarket

$19,539 Vol.

Polymarket

Jay-Z

$842 Vol.

Yes

Adele

$1,817 Vol.

No

Chappell Roan

$1,221 Vol.

No

Rihanna

$4,819 Vol.

Yes

Meryl Streep

$2,611 Vol.

No

Olivia Rodrigo

$833 Vol.

No

Billie Eilish

$2,893 Vol.

No

Frank Ocean

$2,487 Vol.

No

Ice Spice

$2,014 Vol.

No

The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art". This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Co-chairs Beyoncé, Nicole Kidman, Venus Williams, and Vogue editor Anna Wintour anchored trader consensus as near-certainties for the 2026 Met Gala on May 4, marking Beyoncé's return after a decade-long absence and aligning with the "Costume Art" exhibition theme under the "Fashion Is Art" dress code. Host committee co-chairs Anthony Vaccarello and Zoë Kravitz, alongside members like Sabrina Carpenter, Doja Cat, Lisa of Blackpink, Angela Bassett, and Teyana Taylor, drove high implied probabilities based on their official roles and historical attendance patterns curated by Wintour. Final pre-event buzz from Vogue announcements and Page Six rumors elevated odds for A-listers like Rihanna and Zendaya, while last-minute social media teases and red carpet arrivals confirmed many amid the event's secretive invite process. Post-gala coverage now solidifies outcomes via verified photos.

The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$19,539
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 6:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art". This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art". This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Co-chairs Beyoncé, Nicole Kidman, Venus Williams, and Vogue editor Anna Wintour anchored trader consensus as near-certainties for the 2026 Met Gala on May 4, marking Beyoncé's return after a decade-long absence and aligning with the "Costume Art" exhibition theme under the "Fashion Is Art" dress code. Host committee co-chairs Anthony Vaccarello and Zoë Kravitz, alongside members like Sabrina Carpenter, Doja Cat, Lisa of Blackpink, Angela Bassett, and Teyana Taylor, drove high implied probabilities based on their official roles and historical attendance patterns curated by Wintour. Final pre-event buzz from Vogue announcements and Page Six rumors elevated odds for A-listers like Rihanna and Zendaya, while last-minute social media teases and red carpet arrivals confirmed many amid the event's secretive invite process. Post-gala coverage now solidifies outcomes via verified photos.

The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$19,539
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 6:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art". This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will attend the Met Gala?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jay-Z" at 100%, followed by "Rihanna" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will attend the Met Gala?" has generated $19.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will attend the Met Gala?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will attend the Met Gala?" is "Jay-Z" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rihanna" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will attend the Met Gala?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.