Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire following nearly 40 days of US-Iran hostilities, including recent US airstrikes and a new naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz imposed April 14, diplomats are urgently advancing a second round of direct talks originally initiated in Islamabad on April 10-11. That first session, hosted by Pakistan and featuring US Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner opposite Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, ended without agreement on key issues like uranium enrichment and Lebanon ceasefires. President Trump expressed optimism April 14 for resumption within days via Pakistani mediation, pressuring Iran amid economic strain while regional actors like Qatar and Oman facilitate backchannels; resolution hinges on scheduling before April 30 amid escalation risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
$117,020 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Donald Trump
5%
J.D. Vance
76%
Marco Rubio
9%
Jared Kushner
80%
Steve Witkoff
82%
$117,020 Vol.
Donald Trump
$97,284 Vol.
5%
J.D. Vance
$7,880 Vol.
76%
Marco Rubio
$5,431 Vol.
9%
Jared Kushner
$2,490 Vol.
80%
Steve Witkoff
$4,016 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire following nearly 40 days of US-Iran hostilities, including recent US airstrikes and a new naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz imposed April 14, diplomats are urgently advancing a second round of direct talks originally initiated in Islamabad on April 10-11. That first session, hosted by Pakistan and featuring US Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner opposite Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, ended without agreement on key issues like uranium enrichment and Lebanon ceasefires. President Trump expressed optimism April 14 for resumption within days via Pakistani mediation, pressuring Iran amid economic strain while regional actors like Qatar and Oman facilitate backchannels; resolution hinges on scheduling before April 30 amid escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volume
$117,020End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire following nearly 40 days of US-Iran hostilities, including recent US airstrikes and a new naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz imposed April 14, diplomats are urgently advancing a second round of direct talks originally initiated in Islamabad on April 10-11. That first session, hosted by Pakistan and featuring US Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner opposite Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, ended without agreement on key issues like uranium enrichment and Lebanon ceasefires. President Trump expressed optimism April 14 for resumption within days via Pakistani mediation, pressuring Iran amid economic strain while regional actors like Qatar and Oman facilitate backchannels; resolution hinges on scheduling before April 30 amid escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$117,020End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire following nearly 40 days of US-Iran hostilities, including recent US airstrikes and a new naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz imposed April 14, diplomats are urgently advancing a second round of direct talks originally initiated in Islamabad on April 10-11. That first session, hosted by Pakistan and featuring US Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner opposite Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, ended without agreement on key issues like uranium enrichment and Lebanon ceasefires. President Trump expressed optimism April 14 for resumption within days via Pakistani mediation, pressuring Iran amid economic strain while regional actors like Qatar and Oman facilitate backchannels; resolution hinges on scheduling before April 30 amid escalation risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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