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icon for Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above __?
Finance·Micron

Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above __?

icon for Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above __?
Finance·Micron

Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above __?

$23,375 Vol.

Jun 24, 2026
Polymarket

$23,375 Vol.

Polymarket

$7.0B

$6,341 Vol.

Yes

$7.5B

$2,398 Vol.

Yes

$8.0B

$8,454 Vol.

Yes

$8.5B

$6,181 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micron's NAND revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Micron’s fiscal Q3 2026 NAND revenue will be shaped primarily by sustained AI-driven demand for high-performance storage, tight industry bit supply, and elevated average selling prices that drove an 82% sequential and 169% year-over-year jump in NAND revenue to $5.0 billion (21% of total sales) in fiscal Q2. Management’s March guidance for $33.5 billion total revenue at an 81% gross margin, combined with data-center NAND more than doubling sequentially, signals continued pricing power and volume growth into the June quarter. Supply constraints are expected to persist through calendar 2026, with industry NAND bit growth limited to roughly 20% amid capacity reallocations. Traders are watching the June 24 earnings release for confirmation of whether NAND’s share of the record top line exceeds the threshold implied by recent trends.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micron's NAND revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$23,375
End Date
Jun 24, 2026
Market Opened
May 24, 2026, 9:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micron's NAND revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micron's NAND revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Micron’s fiscal Q3 2026 NAND revenue will be shaped primarily by sustained AI-driven demand for high-performance storage, tight industry bit supply, and elevated average selling prices that drove an 82% sequential and 169% year-over-year jump in NAND revenue to $5.0 billion (21% of total sales) in fiscal Q2. Management’s March guidance for $33.5 billion total revenue at an 81% gross margin, combined with data-center NAND more than doubling sequentially, signals continued pricing power and volume growth into the June quarter. Supply constraints are expected to persist through calendar 2026, with industry NAND bit growth limited to roughly 20% amid capacity reallocations. Traders are watching the June 24 earnings release for confirmation of whether NAND’s share of the record top line exceeds the threshold implied by recent trends.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micron's NAND revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$23,375
End Date
Jun 24, 2026
Market Opened
May 24, 2026, 9:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micron's NAND revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above __?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$7.0B" at 100%, followed by "$7.5B" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above __?" has generated $23.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above __?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above __?" is "$7.0B" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$7.5B" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above __?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.