Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election since 2021 on April 19, triggered by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid protests over the budget and alleged corruption, perpetuating a cycle of instability under proportional representation with a 4% national electoral threshold for 240 National Assembly seats. Recent polls, including CAM (April 3-14) and aggregates like PolitPro showing Progressive Bulgaria (led by former President Rumen Radev, who resigned in January 2026) at 30-36%, GERB-SDS around 20%, PP-DB 12%, DPS 10%, Revival 7%, and BSP near 4%, suggest five to six groups will enter parliament, with no majority likely and coalition negotiations ahead. Heightened vote-buying crackdowns, including over €1 million seized by April 14 and counterfeit currency warnings on April 15, alongside 51% voter intent, underscore risks to turnout and smaller parties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$104,333 Vol.

BSP
48%

MECh
22%

Velichie
10%

ITN
2%

APS
2%
$104,333 Vol.

BSP
48%

MECh
22%

Velichie
10%

ITN
2%

APS
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election since 2021 on April 19, triggered by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid protests over the budget and alleged corruption, perpetuating a cycle of instability under proportional representation with a 4% national electoral threshold for 240 National Assembly seats. Recent polls, including CAM (April 3-14) and aggregates like PolitPro showing Progressive Bulgaria (led by former President Rumen Radev, who resigned in January 2026) at 30-36%, GERB-SDS around 20%, PP-DB 12%, DPS 10%, Revival 7%, and BSP near 4%, suggest five to six groups will enter parliament, with no majority likely and coalition negotiations ahead. Heightened vote-buying crackdowns, including over €1 million seized by April 14 and counterfeit currency warnings on April 15, alongside 51% voter intent, underscore risks to turnout and smaller parties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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