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Élection parlementaire bulgare : quels partis entrent au Parlement ?

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Élection parlementaire bulgare : quels partis entrent au Parlement ?

$104,333 Vol.

19 avr. 2026
Polymarket

$104,333 Vol.

Polymarket
Le Parti socialiste bulgare (BSP) - Gauche unie remportera-t-il au moins un siège aux élections parlementaires bulgares de 2026 ? icon

BSP

$31,017 Vol.

48%

Le Mouvement Moralité, Unité, Honneur (MECh) gagnera-t-il au moins un siège lors des élections parlementaires bulgares de 2026 ? icon

MECh

$7,036 Vol.

22%

Velichie (Velichie) remportera-t-il au moins un siège aux élections parlementaires bulgares de 2026 ? icon

Velichie

$40,570 Vol.

10%

Le parti "Il y a un tel peuple" (ITN) remportera-t-il au moins un siège aux élections législatives bulgares de 2026 ? icon

ITN

$11,856 Vol.

2%

L'Alliance pour les droits et les libertés (APS) remportera-t-elle au moins un siège lors des élections parlementaires bulgares de 2026 ? icon

APS

$13,863 Vol.

2%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election since 2021 on April 19, triggered by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid protests over the budget and alleged corruption, perpetuating a cycle of instability under proportional representation with a 4% national electoral threshold for 240 National Assembly seats. Recent polls, including CAM (April 3-14) and aggregates like PolitPro showing Progressive Bulgaria (led by former President Rumen Radev, who resigned in January 2026) at 30-36%, GERB-SDS around 20%, PP-DB 12%, DPS 10%, Revival 7%, and BSP near 4%, suggest five to six groups will enter parliament, with no majority likely and coalition negotiations ahead. Heightened vote-buying crackdowns, including over €1 million seized by April 14 and counterfeit currency warnings on April 15, alongside 51% voter intent, underscore risks to turnout and smaller parties.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$104,333
Date de fin
19 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election since 2021 on April 19, triggered by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid protests over the budget and alleged corruption, perpetuating a cycle of instability under proportional representation with a 4% national electoral threshold for 240 National Assembly seats. Recent polls, including CAM (April 3-14) and aggregates like PolitPro showing Progressive Bulgaria (led by former President Rumen Radev, who resigned in January 2026) at 30-36%, GERB-SDS around 20%, PP-DB 12%, DPS 10%, Revival 7%, and BSP near 4%, suggest five to six groups will enter parliament, with no majority likely and coalition negotiations ahead. Heightened vote-buying crackdowns, including over €1 million seized by April 14 and counterfeit currency warnings on April 15, alongside 51% voter intent, underscore risks to turnout and smaller parties.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$104,333
Date de fin
19 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection parlementaire bulgare : quels partis entrent au Parlement ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « BSP » à 48%, suivi de « MECh » à 22%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 48¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 48% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection parlementaire bulgare : quels partis entrent au Parlement ? » a généré $104.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection parlementaire bulgare : quels partis entrent au Parlement ? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection parlementaire bulgare : quels partis entrent au Parlement ? » est « BSP » à 48%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 48% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « MECh » à 22%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection parlementaire bulgare : quels partis entrent au Parlement ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.