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Politique·Bulgarie

Élection parlementaire bulgare : quels partis entrent au Parlement ?

Market icon
Politique·Bulgarie

Élection parlementaire bulgare : quels partis entrent au Parlement ?

$104,002 Vol.

19 avr. 2026
Polymarket

$104,002 Vol.

Polymarket
Le Parti socialiste bulgare (BSP) - Gauche unie remportera-t-il au moins un siège aux élections parlementaires bulgares de 2026 ? icon

BSP

$30,910 Vol.

45%

Le Mouvement Moralité, Unité, Honneur (MECh) gagnera-t-il au moins un siège lors des élections parlementaires bulgares de 2026 ? icon

MECh

$7,028 Vol.

19%

Velichie (Velichie) remportera-t-il au moins un siège aux élections parlementaires bulgares de 2026 ? icon

Velichie

$40,561 Vol.

10%

Le parti "Il y a un tel peuple" (ITN) remportera-t-il au moins un siège aux élections législatives bulgares de 2026 ? icon

ITN

$11,769 Vol.

2%

L'Alliance pour les droits et les libertés (APS) remportera-t-elle au moins un siège lors des élections parlementaires bulgares de 2026 ? icon

APS

$13,863 Vol.

2%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election in five years on April 19, triggered by the December 2025 resignation of the Zhelyazkov government amid mass protests over the budget and corruption allegations, followed by failed coalition formation attempts. Latest polls from April 14, including CAM and Market Links, show former President Rumen Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading decisively at 32-37%, well ahead of GERB-SDS at 19-22%, with Democratic Bulgaria (DB), Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS), and Revival (Vazrazhdane) poised to exceed the 4% proportional representation threshold for National Assembly seats, while BSP hovers near it. Voter turnout intentions stand at 51% amid apathy and vote-buying scandals prompting a special anti-fraud unit, hotline, and OSCE/ODIHR plus PACE observers; fragmented results will hinge on post-election coalition negotiations for a 121-seat majority.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$104,002
Date de fin
19 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election in five years on April 19, triggered by the December 2025 resignation of the Zhelyazkov government amid mass protests over the budget and corruption allegations, followed by failed coalition formation attempts. Latest polls from April 14, including CAM and Market Links, show former President Rumen Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading decisively at 32-37%, well ahead of GERB-SDS at 19-22%, with Democratic Bulgaria (DB), Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS), and Revival (Vazrazhdane) poised to exceed the 4% proportional representation threshold for National Assembly seats, while BSP hovers near it. Voter turnout intentions stand at 51% amid apathy and vote-buying scandals prompting a special anti-fraud unit, hotline, and OSCE/ODIHR plus PACE observers; fragmented results will hinge on post-election coalition negotiations for a 121-seat majority.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$104,002
Date de fin
19 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection parlementaire bulgare : quels partis entrent au Parlement ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « BSP » à 46%, suivi de « MECh » à 19%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 46¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 46% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection parlementaire bulgare : quels partis entrent au Parlement ? » a généré $104K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection parlementaire bulgare : quels partis entrent au Parlement ? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection parlementaire bulgare : quels partis entrent au Parlement ? » est « BSP » à 46%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 46% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « MECh » à 19%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection parlementaire bulgare : quels partis entrent au Parlement ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.