Democratic Party Representative Park Soo-hyun's commanding 91% implied probability stems from his April 15 victory in the party's runoff primary for the June 3 Chungcheongnam-do governor race, defeating former Governor Yang Seung-jo and unifying DPK support against incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Tae-heum. Recent polls, including a four-day-old survey showing Park at 50% versus Kim's 30.9%—with DPK provincial support at 52.5% to PPP's 29.6%—underscore trader consensus on his strong path to victory amid national trends favoring the opposition. While probabilities exceed 90%, scenarios like a major scandal, campaign gaffes, or a late PPP surge could challenge this lead before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de la province de Chungcheongnam
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de la province de Chungcheongnam
Park Soo-hyun 91.1%
Yang Seung-jo 1.5%
Sung Il-jong 1.3%
Kim Tae-heum 1.2%
$976,666 Vol.
$976,666 Vol.
Park Soo-hyun
91%
Yang Seung-jo
2%
Sung Il-jong
1%
Kim Tae-heum
1%
Kang Seung-kyu
<1%
Moon Jin-seok
<1%
Chung Jin-suk
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%
Park Soo-hyun 91.1%
Yang Seung-jo 1.5%
Sung Il-jong 1.3%
Kim Tae-heum 1.2%
$976,666 Vol.
$976,666 Vol.
Park Soo-hyun
91%
Yang Seung-jo
2%
Sung Il-jong
1%
Kim Tae-heum
1%
Kang Seung-kyu
<1%
Moon Jin-seok
<1%
Chung Jin-suk
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Marché ouvert : Nov 18, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Party Representative Park Soo-hyun's commanding 91% implied probability stems from his April 15 victory in the party's runoff primary for the June 3 Chungcheongnam-do governor race, defeating former Governor Yang Seung-jo and unifying DPK support against incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Tae-heum. Recent polls, including a four-day-old survey showing Park at 50% versus Kim's 30.9%—with DPK provincial support at 52.5% to PPP's 29.6%—underscore trader consensus on his strong path to victory amid national trends favoring the opposition. While probabilities exceed 90%, scenarios like a major scandal, campaign gaffes, or a late PPP surge could challenge this lead before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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