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icon for Flavio Bolsonaro Vice-président Candidat

Flavio Bolsonaro Vice-président Candidat

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro Vice-président Candidat

Flavio Bolsonaro Vice-président Candidat

Alfredo Gaspar 96.5%

Michelle Bolsonaro 1.1%

Simone Marquetto <1%

Clarissa Tércio <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Alfredo Gaspar 96.5%

Michelle Bolsonaro 1.1%

Simone Marquetto <1%

Clarissa Tércio <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Alfredo Gaspar

Alfredo Gaspar

$1,550 Vol.

97%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$527 Vol.

1%

icon for Simone Marquetto

Simone Marquetto

$464 Vol.

1%

icon for Clarissa Tércio

Clarissa Tércio

$408 Vol.

1%

icon for Daniella Marques

Daniella Marques

$637 Vol.

1%

icon for Marcos Pontes

Marcos Pontes

$484 Vol.

<1%

icon for Júlia Zanatta

Júlia Zanatta

$361 Vol.

<1%

icon for Priscila Costa

Priscila Costa

$500 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$449 Vol.

<1%

icon for Damares Alves

Damares Alves

$420 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renata Abreu

Renata Abreu

$466 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gilson Machado

Gilson Machado

$462 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bia Kicis

Bia Kicis

$413 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosana Valle

Rosana Valle

$419 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rogério Marinho

Rogério Marinho

$1,110 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro's August 5 announcement naming federal deputy Alfredo Gaspar as his Liberal Party running mate for Brazil's October presidential election has driven the market's overwhelming consensus around Gaspar. The selection concluded weeks of internal discussions within the PL, where Gaspar's profile as a former prosecutor and public security official from Alagoas aligned with party priorities on security and anti-corruption themes. Earlier speculation had included efforts to add a female candidate for broader appeal, but those attempts did not materialize amid limited coalition support from other center-right parties. With the ticket now formally set ahead of party conventions, alternative names face significant structural barriers to entry. Late shifts remain possible only through unforeseen legal challenges or ticket revisions before the election filing deadline.

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.

An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.

If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$8,670
Date de fin
15 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro's August 5 announcement naming federal deputy Alfredo Gaspar as his Liberal Party running mate for Brazil's October presidential election has driven the market's overwhelming consensus around Gaspar. The selection concluded weeks of internal discussions within the PL, where Gaspar's profile as a former prosecutor and public security official from Alagoas aligned with party priorities on security and anti-corruption themes. Earlier speculation had included efforts to add a female candidate for broader appeal, but those attempts did not materialize amid limited coalition support from other center-right parties. With the ticket now formally set ahead of party conventions, alternative names face significant structural barriers to entry. Late shifts remain possible only through unforeseen legal challenges or ticket revisions before the election filing deadline.

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.

An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.

If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$8,670
Date de fin
15 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).

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Questions fréquentes

« Flavio Bolsonaro Vice-président Candidat » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Alfredo Gaspar » à 97%, suivi de « Michelle Bolsonaro » à 1%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 97¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Flavio Bolsonaro Vice-président Candidat » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 4, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Flavio Bolsonaro Vice-président Candidat », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Flavio Bolsonaro Vice-président Candidat » est « Alfredo Gaspar » à 97%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Michelle Bolsonaro » à 1%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Flavio Bolsonaro Vice-président Candidat » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.