Persistent high pressure and southerly flow beneath a strong subtropical ridge are sustaining above-normal heat across central Texas, with National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to mostly sunny skies and daily maxima near 99–101°F for Austin on August 2. This setup aligns with early-August climatology where average highs reach 96–97°F, yet recent ensemble runs have trended warmer due to suppressed convection and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus splits almost evenly between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins because small differences in afternoon storm development or boundary-layer mixing could push the official high across that threshold, while lower-probability outcomes reflect the low but real chance of greater cloudiness or a stronger sea-breeze influence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 2 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 2 août ?
98-99 °F 38%
100-101°F 38%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
91°F ou moins
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
7%
98-99 °F
38%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F ou plus
<1%
98-99 °F 38%
100-101°F 38%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
91°F ou moins
$27 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$53 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$29 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$380 Vol.
7%
98-99 °F
$85 Vol.
38%
100-101°F
$59 Vol.
38%
102-103°F
$11 Vol.
14%
104-105°F
$1 Vol.
5%
106-107°F
$47 Vol.
4%
108-109°F
$53 Vol.
<1%
110°F ou plus
$87 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow beneath a strong subtropical ridge are sustaining above-normal heat across central Texas, with National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to mostly sunny skies and daily maxima near 99–101°F for Austin on August 2. This setup aligns with early-August climatology where average highs reach 96–97°F, yet recent ensemble runs have trended warmer due to suppressed convection and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus splits almost evenly between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins because small differences in afternoon storm development or boundary-layer mixing could push the official high across that threshold, while lower-probability outcomes reflect the low but real chance of greater cloudiness or a stronger sea-breeze influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$833Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow beneath a strong subtropical ridge are sustaining above-normal heat across central Texas, with National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to mostly sunny skies and daily maxima near 99–101°F for Austin on August 2. This setup aligns with early-August climatology where average highs reach 96–97°F, yet recent ensemble runs have trended warmer due to suppressed convection and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus splits almost evenly between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins because small differences in afternoon storm development or boundary-layer mixing could push the official high across that threshold, while lower-probability outcomes reflect the low but real chance of greater cloudiness or a stronger sea-breeze influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$833Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and southerly flow beneath a strong subtropical ridge are sustaining above-normal heat across central Texas, with National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to mostly sunny skies and daily maxima near 99–101°F for Austin on August 2. This setup aligns with early-August climatology where average highs reach 96–97°F, yet recent ensemble runs have trended warmer due to suppressed convection and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus splits almost evenly between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins because small differences in afternoon storm development or boundary-layer mixing could push the official high across that threshold, while lower-probability outcomes reflect the low but real chance of greater cloudiness or a stronger sea-breeze influence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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