Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Austin on August 6 near the upper 90s to low 100s, driven by strong surface high pressure promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and light southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf. With August climatology favoring daily highs around 96–98°F and recent observations showing 99–101°F readings amid warmer-than-normal conditions, traders assign the greatest implied probability to 98–101°F bins while discounting extremes. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convection timing, or slight model spread in 850-hPa temperatures can shift the peak by a degree or two before official verification at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 6 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 6 août ?
98-99°F 45%
100-101°F 36%
96-97°F 13%
102-103 °F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
89°F ou moins
<1%
90-91 °F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
13%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
36%
102-103 °F
8%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F ou plus
<1%
98-99°F 45%
100-101°F 36%
96-97°F 13%
102-103 °F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
89°F ou moins
$38 Vol.
<1%
90-91 °F
$131 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$198 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$45 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$101 Vol.
13%
98-99°F
$56 Vol.
45%
100-101°F
$61 Vol.
36%
102-103 °F
$85 Vol.
8%
104-105°F
$123 Vol.
4%
106-107°F
$99 Vol.
<1%
108°F ou plus
$93 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Austin on August 6 near the upper 90s to low 100s, driven by strong surface high pressure promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and light southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf. With August climatology favoring daily highs around 96–98°F and recent observations showing 99–101°F readings amid warmer-than-normal conditions, traders assign the greatest implied probability to 98–101°F bins while discounting extremes. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convection timing, or slight model spread in 850-hPa temperatures can shift the peak by a degree or two before official verification at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,029Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Austin on August 6 near the upper 90s to low 100s, driven by strong surface high pressure promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and light southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf. With August climatology favoring daily highs around 96–98°F and recent observations showing 99–101°F readings amid warmer-than-normal conditions, traders assign the greatest implied probability to 98–101°F bins while discounting extremes. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convection timing, or slight model spread in 850-hPa temperatures can shift the peak by a degree or two before official verification at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,029Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Austin on August 6 near the upper 90s to low 100s, driven by strong surface high pressure promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and light southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf. With August climatology favoring daily highs around 96–98°F and recent observations showing 99–101°F readings amid warmer-than-normal conditions, traders assign the greatest implied probability to 98–101°F bins while discounting extremes. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convection timing, or slight model spread in 850-hPa temperatures can shift the peak by a degree or two before official verification at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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