**Forecast models and observational data position 98-99°F as the most probable high for Austin on August 7, 2026, aligning with the market's 55.5% implied probability.** National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a high near 98°F under partly sunny skies with limited moisture, following a pattern of highs in the upper 90s to low 100s typical for early August in Central Texas. Spotty rain chances and increased cloud cover are expected to cap intensification compared to clearer, hotter prior days, while the seasonal baseline of 96-98°F highs supports this range over lower or triple-digit outcomes. Traders appear to weight these near-term model consensus updates heavily, with the 96-97°F bin at 24.5% reflecting minor downside risk from greater cloudiness or precipitation. Upcoming afternoon observations from official stations will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 7 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 7 août ?
98-99°F 53%
96-97°F 24%
100-101°F 17%
94-95 °F 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
89°F ou moins
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95 °F
4%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
53%
100-101°F
17%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F ou plus
<1%
98-99°F 53%
96-97°F 24%
100-101°F 17%
94-95 °F 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
89°F ou moins
$872 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$789 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$215 Vol.
1%
94-95 °F
$131 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$1,402 Vol.
24%
98-99°F
$1,916 Vol.
53%
100-101°F
$198 Vol.
17%
102-103°F
$273 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$316 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$459 Vol.
<1%
108°F ou plus
$645 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data position 98-99°F as the most probable high for Austin on August 7, 2026, aligning with the market's 55.5% implied probability.** National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a high near 98°F under partly sunny skies with limited moisture, following a pattern of highs in the upper 90s to low 100s typical for early August in Central Texas. Spotty rain chances and increased cloud cover are expected to cap intensification compared to clearer, hotter prior days, while the seasonal baseline of 96-98°F highs supports this range over lower or triple-digit outcomes. Traders appear to weight these near-term model consensus updates heavily, with the 96-97°F bin at 24.5% reflecting minor downside risk from greater cloudiness or precipitation. Upcoming afternoon observations from official stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$7,216Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data position 98-99°F as the most probable high for Austin on August 7, 2026, aligning with the market's 55.5% implied probability.** National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a high near 98°F under partly sunny skies with limited moisture, following a pattern of highs in the upper 90s to low 100s typical for early August in Central Texas. Spotty rain chances and increased cloud cover are expected to cap intensification compared to clearer, hotter prior days, while the seasonal baseline of 96-98°F highs supports this range over lower or triple-digit outcomes. Traders appear to weight these near-term model consensus updates heavily, with the 96-97°F bin at 24.5% reflecting minor downside risk from greater cloudiness or precipitation. Upcoming afternoon observations from official stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,216Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observational data position 98-99°F as the most probable high for Austin on August 7, 2026, aligning with the market's 55.5% implied probability.** National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a high near 98°F under partly sunny skies with limited moisture, following a pattern of highs in the upper 90s to low 100s typical for early August in Central Texas. Spotty rain chances and increased cloud cover are expected to cap intensification compared to clearer, hotter prior days, while the seasonal baseline of 96-98°F highs supports this range over lower or triple-digit outcomes. Traders appear to weight these near-term model consensus updates heavily, with the 96-97°F bin at 24.5% reflecting minor downside risk from greater cloudiness or precipitation. Upcoming afternoon observations from official stations will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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