**Forecast consensus from agencies such as Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather centers the daytime maximum in Buenos Aires near 15–16°C on August 5, 2026, supporting the market’s 58% implied probability for 16°C and secondary weighting on 15°C and 17°C.** Late Southern Hemisphere winter brings reduced solar insolation and prevailing westerly flow across the Pampas, limiting warm-air advection and keeping highs close to the long-term August average of roughly 16–18°C. Recent model runs show tight clustering around this range amid stable atmospheric patterns, light winds, and possible light rain or drizzle that suppresses further warming. Traders price the narrow 1°C band heavily because observational baselines and ensemble guidance indicate limited day-to-day variability, with any last adjustments likely coming only from updated steering winds or cloud-cover changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 5 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 5 août ?
16°C 58%
15°C 21%
17°C 21%
14°C 1.2%
NOUVEAU
$20,678 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$20,678 Vol.
5 août 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
21%
16°C
58%
17°C
21%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 58%
15°C 21%
17°C 21%
14°C 1.2%
NOUVEAU
$20,678 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$20,678 Vol.
5 août 2026
11°C or below
$285 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$674 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,333 Vol.
1%
15°C
$3,404 Vol.
21%
16°C
$7,162 Vol.
58%
17°C
$3,760 Vol.
21%
18°C
$1,551 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,152 Vol.
1%
20°C
$557 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$298 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from agencies such as Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather centers the daytime maximum in Buenos Aires near 15–16°C on August 5, 2026, supporting the market’s 58% implied probability for 16°C and secondary weighting on 15°C and 17°C.**
Late Southern Hemisphere winter brings reduced solar insolation and prevailing westerly flow across the Pampas, limiting warm-air advection and keeping highs close to the long-term August average of roughly 16–18°C. Recent model runs show tight clustering around this range amid stable atmospheric patterns, light winds, and possible light rain or drizzle that suppresses further warming. Traders price the narrow 1°C band heavily because observational baselines and ensemble guidance indicate limited day-to-day variability, with any last adjustments likely coming only from updated steering winds or cloud-cover changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$20,678Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from agencies such as Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather centers the daytime maximum in Buenos Aires near 15–16°C on August 5, 2026, supporting the market’s 58% implied probability for 16°C and secondary weighting on 15°C and 17°C.**
Late Southern Hemisphere winter brings reduced solar insolation and prevailing westerly flow across the Pampas, limiting warm-air advection and keeping highs close to the long-term August average of roughly 16–18°C. Recent model runs show tight clustering around this range amid stable atmospheric patterns, light winds, and possible light rain or drizzle that suppresses further warming. Traders price the narrow 1°C band heavily because observational baselines and ensemble guidance indicate limited day-to-day variability, with any last adjustments likely coming only from updated steering winds or cloud-cover changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,678Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from agencies such as Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather centers the daytime maximum in Buenos Aires near 15–16°C on August 5, 2026, supporting the market’s 58% implied probability for 16°C and secondary weighting on 15°C and 17°C.** Late Southern Hemisphere winter brings reduced solar insolation and prevailing westerly flow across the Pampas, limiting warm-air advection and keeping highs close to the long-term August average of roughly 16–18°C. Recent model runs show tight clustering around this range amid stable atmospheric patterns, light winds, and possible light rain or drizzle that suppresses further warming. Traders price the narrow 1°C band heavily because observational baselines and ensemble guidance indicate limited day-to-day variability, with any last adjustments likely coming only from updated steering winds or cloud-cover changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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