A cold front approaching from the southwest is the dominant driver behind current market-implied odds, with traders assigning roughly 69% combined probability to a daily maximum of 15–16 °C in Cape Town on 6 August. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and model consensus indicate the front will reach the Western Cape by morning, advecting cooler maritime air, increasing cloud cover, and delivering light rain that suppresses insolation and daytime warming. This aligns with typical mid-winter climatology, where frontal passages often cap highs 1–3 °C below the August average of ~17 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the tight clustering around 15–16 °C rather than warmer or markedly colder outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée au Cap le 6 août ?
La température la plus élevée au Cap le 6 août ?
16°C 40%
15°C 29%
17°C 18%
14°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
11°C ou moins
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
29%
16°C
40%
17°C
18%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C ou plus
<1%
16°C 40%
15°C 29%
17°C 18%
14°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
11°C ou moins
$340 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$559 Vol.
1%
13°C
$301 Vol.
3%
14°C
$384 Vol.
11%
15°C
$174 Vol.
29%
16°C
$354 Vol.
40%
17°C
$592 Vol.
18%
18°C
$424 Vol.
3%
19°C
$262 Vol.
1%
20°C
$130 Vol.
1%
21°C ou plus
$79 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front approaching from the southwest is the dominant driver behind current market-implied odds, with traders assigning roughly 69% combined probability to a daily maximum of 15–16 °C in Cape Town on 6 August. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and model consensus indicate the front will reach the Western Cape by morning, advecting cooler maritime air, increasing cloud cover, and delivering light rain that suppresses insolation and daytime warming. This aligns with typical mid-winter climatology, where frontal passages often cap highs 1–3 °C below the August average of ~17 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the tight clustering around 15–16 °C rather than warmer or markedly colder outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,599Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front approaching from the southwest is the dominant driver behind current market-implied odds, with traders assigning roughly 69% combined probability to a daily maximum of 15–16 °C in Cape Town on 6 August. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and model consensus indicate the front will reach the Western Cape by morning, advecting cooler maritime air, increasing cloud cover, and delivering light rain that suppresses insolation and daytime warming. This aligns with typical mid-winter climatology, where frontal passages often cap highs 1–3 °C below the August average of ~17 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the tight clustering around 15–16 °C rather than warmer or markedly colder outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,599Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...A cold front approaching from the southwest is the dominant driver behind current market-implied odds, with traders assigning roughly 69% combined probability to a daily maximum of 15–16 °C in Cape Town on 6 August. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and model consensus indicate the front will reach the Western Cape by morning, advecting cooler maritime air, increasing cloud cover, and delivering light rain that suppresses insolation and daytime warming. This aligns with typical mid-winter climatology, where frontal passages often cap highs 1–3 °C below the August average of ~17 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the tight clustering around 15–16 °C rather than warmer or markedly colder outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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