Current European weather model consensus, including runs from the Met Office and ECMWF, points to a maximum of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 6 under moderate westerly flow and Atlantic high pressure. North Sea sea-surface temperatures near 18°C provide a cooling influence on the coastal plain, limiting daytime peaks relative to inland areas, while clear to partly cloudy skies allow typical August solar heating without strong advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 22°C, with low variability this week due to stable synoptic patterns. Traders have priced 21°C as the mode at 49% because ensemble guidance clusters tightly around that value, with only minor upside risk from any delayed model shift in the final 24-hour updates before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 6 août ?
21°C 48%
22°C 32%
20°C 22%
19°C 3%
$22,396 Vol.
$22,396 Vol.
17°C ou moins
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
22%
21°C
48%
22°C
32%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou plus
<1%
21°C 48%
22°C 32%
20°C 22%
19°C 3%
$22,396 Vol.
$22,396 Vol.
17°C ou moins
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
22%
21°C
48%
22°C
32%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current European weather model consensus, including runs from the Met Office and ECMWF, points to a maximum of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 6 under moderate westerly flow and Atlantic high pressure. North Sea sea-surface temperatures near 18°C provide a cooling influence on the coastal plain, limiting daytime peaks relative to inland areas, while clear to partly cloudy skies allow typical August solar heating without strong advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 22°C, with low variability this week due to stable synoptic patterns. Traders have priced 21°C as the mode at 49% because ensemble guidance clusters tightly around that value, with only minor upside risk from any delayed model shift in the final 24-hour updates before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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