Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83–84°F for Chicago on August 5, with lake-moderated conditions and light southwesterly flow favoring the 80–83°F range that dominates trader positioning. Diurnal heating under partly to mostly sunny skies supports modest warming, while any strengthening lake breeze or increased afternoon cloud cover from nearby showers could cap readings in the low 80s. Historical August variability shows daily highs routinely fluctuate 5–7°F around the 83.6°F climatological value, and current short-range forecasts exhibit limited spread without strong warm or cool advection. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 80–83°F reflects this narrow uncertainty band and the influence of official observations at O’Hare or Midway airports on resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chicago le 5 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chicago le 5 août ?
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 24%
78-79°F 15%
84-85°F 9.8%
NOUVEAU
$26,738 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$26,738 Vol.
5 août 2026
75°F ou moins
<1%
76-77 °F
9%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93 °F
<1%
94°F ou plus
<1%
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 24%
78-79°F 15%
84-85°F 9.8%
NOUVEAU
$26,738 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$26,738 Vol.
5 août 2026
75°F ou moins
$7,350 Vol.
<1%
76-77 °F
$2,744 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$2,184 Vol.
15%
80-81°F
$4,043 Vol.
33%
82-83°F
$1,672 Vol.
24%
84-85°F
$3,930 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$1,842 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$1,421 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$547 Vol.
<1%
92-93 °F
$524 Vol.
<1%
94°F ou plus
$483 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83–84°F for Chicago on August 5, with lake-moderated conditions and light southwesterly flow favoring the 80–83°F range that dominates trader positioning. Diurnal heating under partly to mostly sunny skies supports modest warming, while any strengthening lake breeze or increased afternoon cloud cover from nearby showers could cap readings in the low 80s. Historical August variability shows daily highs routinely fluctuate 5–7°F around the 83.6°F climatological value, and current short-range forecasts exhibit limited spread without strong warm or cool advection. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 80–83°F reflects this narrow uncertainty band and the influence of official observations at O’Hare or Midway airports on resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$26,738Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83–84°F for Chicago on August 5, with lake-moderated conditions and light southwesterly flow favoring the 80–83°F range that dominates trader positioning. Diurnal heating under partly to mostly sunny skies supports modest warming, while any strengthening lake breeze or increased afternoon cloud cover from nearby showers could cap readings in the low 80s. Historical August variability shows daily highs routinely fluctuate 5–7°F around the 83.6°F climatological value, and current short-range forecasts exhibit limited spread without strong warm or cool advection. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 80–83°F reflects this narrow uncertainty band and the influence of official observations at O’Hare or Midway airports on resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,738Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83–84°F for Chicago on August 5, with lake-moderated conditions and light southwesterly flow favoring the 80–83°F range that dominates trader positioning. Diurnal heating under partly to mostly sunny skies supports modest warming, while any strengthening lake breeze or increased afternoon cloud cover from nearby showers could cap readings in the low 80s. Historical August variability shows daily highs routinely fluctuate 5–7°F around the 83.6°F climatological value, and current short-range forecasts exhibit limited spread without strong warm or cool advection. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 80–83°F reflects this narrow uncertainty band and the influence of official observations at O’Hare or Midway airports on resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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