**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for July 8, with a range of 27–31°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions.** This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C at 29%. A broad trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea continues to supply moisture, favoring scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. July climatology shows average daily highs near 31°C, with recent early-month readings around 32°C before increased cloud cover. Model consensus and ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty between 30–32°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any rain, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive while traders monitor updated HKO guidance and regional model runs for refinements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 8 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 8 juillet ?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$214,617 Vol.
$214,617 Vol.
8 juil. 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$214,617 Vol.
$214,617 Vol.
8 juil. 2026
25°C or below
$6,729 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,772 Vol.
No
27°C
$12,498 Vol.
No
28°C
$12,639 Vol.
No
29°C
$25,396 Vol.
No
30°C
$25,849 Vol.
No
31°C
$45,039 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$33,076 Vol.
No
33°C
$26,901 Vol.
No
34°C
$15,577 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$6,140 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for July 8, with a range of 27–31°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions.** This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C at 29%. A broad trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea continues to supply moisture, favoring scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. July climatology shows average daily highs near 31°C, with recent early-month readings around 32°C before increased cloud cover. Model consensus and ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty between 30–32°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any rain, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive while traders monitor updated HKO guidance and regional model runs for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$214,617Date de fin
8 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for July 8, with a range of 27–31°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions.** This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C at 29%. A broad trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea continues to supply moisture, favoring scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. July climatology shows average daily highs near 31°C, with recent early-month readings around 32°C before increased cloud cover. Model consensus and ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty between 30–32°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any rain, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive while traders monitor updated HKO guidance and regional model runs for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$214,617Date de fin
8 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for July 8, with a range of 27–31°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions.** This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C at 29%. A broad trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea continues to supply moisture, favoring scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. July climatology shows average daily highs near 31°C, with recent early-month readings around 32°C before increased cloud cover. Model consensus and ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty between 30–32°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any rain, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive while traders monitor updated HKO guidance and regional model runs for refinements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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