The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) estimates Mexico City's high temperature on April 17 at 27–29°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward 29°C (34.5% implied probability) as the leading outcome, with 30°C (22.5%) and 28°C (19.5%) close behind. This reflects slight above-average warmth for April—historical highs average 26–27°C amid the high-elevation dry season—boosted by high solar insolation and urban heat island effects at 2,240 meters. Key variables include afternoon cloud development or northerly gusts cooling to 27–28°C, versus prolonged sunshine pushing 30°C+; model ensembles show low consensus beyond the 27–30°C cluster. Official measurements from Benito Juárez International Airport will resolve the market, with updates expected through midday.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 33%
30°C 23%
28°C 20%
31°C 13%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
20%
29°C
33%
30°C
23%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 33%
30°C 23%
28°C 20%
31°C 13%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
20%
29°C
33%
30°C
23%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) estimates Mexico City's high temperature on April 17 at 27–29°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward 29°C (34.5% implied probability) as the leading outcome, with 30°C (22.5%) and 28°C (19.5%) close behind. This reflects slight above-average warmth for April—historical highs average 26–27°C amid the high-elevation dry season—boosted by high solar insolation and urban heat island effects at 2,240 meters. Key variables include afternoon cloud development or northerly gusts cooling to 27–28°C, versus prolonged sunshine pushing 30°C+; model ensembles show low consensus beyond the 27–30°C cluster. Official measurements from Benito Juárez International Airport will resolve the market, with updates expected through midday.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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