Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM) on May 7, driven by confirmed Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations recording a peak of 15°C during the afternoon under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light high-pressure influence that suppressed solar heating despite early May's typical diurnal cycle. Evening readings have fallen to 12°C by 21:00 local time, past the daily maximum window, aligning with ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 15-16°C highs—below the historical May average of 17°C due to this cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from sudden clearing or a data revision, though market rules ignore post-finalization changes; final Wunderground daily summary is pending for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on May 7?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 7?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$153,987 Vol.
$153,987 Vol.
7 mai 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$153,987 Vol.
$153,987 Vol.
7 mai 2026
12°C or below
$12,499 Vol.
No
13°C
$10,080 Vol.
No
14°C
$26,215 Vol.
No
15°C
$24,446 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$23,040 Vol.
No
17°C
$20,487 Vol.
No
18°C
$11,254 Vol.
No
19°C
$7,934 Vol.
No
20°C
$6,513 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,028 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$6,490 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM) on May 7, driven by confirmed Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations recording a peak of 15°C during the afternoon under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light high-pressure influence that suppressed solar heating despite early May's typical diurnal cycle. Evening readings have fallen to 12°C by 21:00 local time, past the daily maximum window, aligning with ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 15-16°C highs—below the historical May average of 17°C due to this cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from sudden clearing or a data revision, though market rules ignore post-finalization changes; final Wunderground daily summary is pending for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 5, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$153,987Date de fin
7 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 12:23 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM) on May 7, driven by confirmed Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations recording a peak of 15°C during the afternoon under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light high-pressure influence that suppressed solar heating despite early May's typical diurnal cycle. Evening readings have fallen to 12°C by 21:00 local time, past the daily maximum window, aligning with ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 15-16°C highs—below the historical May average of 17°C due to this cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from sudden clearing or a data revision, though market rules ignore post-finalization changes; final Wunderground daily summary is pending for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$153,987Date de fin
7 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 12:23 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM) on May 7, driven by confirmed Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations recording a peak of 15°C during the afternoon under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light high-pressure influence that suppressed solar heating despite early May's typical diurnal cycle. Evening readings have fallen to 12°C by 21:00 local time, past the daily maximum window, aligning with ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 15-16°C highs—below the historical May average of 17°C due to this cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from sudden clearing or a data revision, though market rules ignore post-finalization changes; final Wunderground daily summary is pending for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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