**Official observations from Météo-France stations, including Paris-Montsouris, confirm the highest temperature in Paris on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome.** This measurement aligns with a sharp cooldown from prior days—26°C on May 2 and 21°C on May 3—amid heavy cloud cover, unstable atmospheric conditions, and reduced solar insolation typical of transitional spring weather patterns in Île-de-France. Model forecasts had anticipated modest highs around 18–20°C given persistent low-pressure influence, and verified hourly data shows no exceedance. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over the primary station (e.g., Le Bourget vs. Montsouris), though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily maxima; final archival reports expected soon will solidify resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on May 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 4?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$157,939 Vol.
$157,939 Vol.
4 mai 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$157,939 Vol.
$157,939 Vol.
4 mai 2026
14°C or below
$4,261 Vol.
No
15°C
$5,655 Vol.
No
16°C
$18,514 Vol.
No
17°C
$22,341 Vol.
No
18°C
$24,534 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$22,408 Vol.
No
20°C
$26,222 Vol.
No
21°C
$15,545 Vol.
No
22°C
$8,619 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,237 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$5,602 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Météo-France stations, including Paris-Montsouris, confirm the highest temperature in Paris on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome.** This measurement aligns with a sharp cooldown from prior days—26°C on May 2 and 21°C on May 3—amid heavy cloud cover, unstable atmospheric conditions, and reduced solar insolation typical of transitional spring weather patterns in Île-de-France. Model forecasts had anticipated modest highs around 18–20°C given persistent low-pressure influence, and verified hourly data shows no exceedance. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over the primary station (e.g., Le Bourget vs. Montsouris), though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily maxima; final archival reports expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$157,939Date de fin
4 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Météo-France stations, including Paris-Montsouris, confirm the highest temperature in Paris on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome.** This measurement aligns with a sharp cooldown from prior days—26°C on May 2 and 21°C on May 3—amid heavy cloud cover, unstable atmospheric conditions, and reduced solar insolation typical of transitional spring weather patterns in Île-de-France. Model forecasts had anticipated modest highs around 18–20°C given persistent low-pressure influence, and verified hourly data shows no exceedance. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over the primary station (e.g., Le Bourget vs. Montsouris), though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily maxima; final archival reports expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$157,939Date de fin
4 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
**Official observations from Météo-France stations, including Paris-Montsouris, confirm the highest temperature in Paris on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome.** This measurement aligns with a sharp cooldown from prior days—26°C on May 2 and 21°C on May 3—amid heavy cloud cover, unstable atmospheric conditions, and reduced solar insolation typical of transitional spring weather patterns in Île-de-France. Model forecasts had anticipated modest highs around 18–20°C given persistent low-pressure influence, and verified hourly data shows no exceedance. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over the primary station (e.g., Le Bourget vs. Montsouris), though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily maxima; final archival reports expected soon will solidify resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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