**A strong heatwave driven by high-pressure ridging and offshore flow pushed San Francisco temperatures well above seasonal norms on June 11, 2026.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus indicated afternoon highs near or at 90–91 °F at downtown and airport stations, consistent with observed Bay Area readings that day. This aligns with the market’s 100 % implied probability for the 90–91 °F bin, reflecting trader confidence in verified station data once the climatological report is released. Historical June averages near 70 °F underscore how anomalous the event was. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen revision in the final NWS daily summary or station-specific microclimate differences, though current observational agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 11 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 11 juin ?
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F ou moins <1%
82-83 °F <1%
84-85 °F <1%
$138,305 Vol.
$138,305 Vol.
11 juin 2026
81°F ou moins
Non
82-83 °F
Non
84-85 °F
Non
86-87°F
Non
88-89°F
Non
90-91°F
Oui
92-93 °F
Non
94-95°F
Non
96-97 °F
Non
98-99 °F
Non
100°F ou plus
Non
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F ou moins <1%
82-83 °F <1%
84-85 °F <1%
$138,305 Vol.
$138,305 Vol.
11 juin 2026
81°F ou moins
$14,271 Vol.
Non
82-83 °F
$9,839 Vol.
Non
84-85 °F
$9,675 Vol.
Non
86-87°F
$7,890 Vol.
Non
88-89°F
$18,069 Vol.
Non
90-91°F
$25,566 Vol.
Oui
92-93 °F
$21,059 Vol.
Non
94-95°F
$16,766 Vol.
Non
96-97 °F
$8,912 Vol.
Non
98-99 °F
$5,327 Vol.
Non
100°F ou plus
$931 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A strong heatwave driven by high-pressure ridging and offshore flow pushed San Francisco temperatures well above seasonal norms on June 11, 2026.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus indicated afternoon highs near or at 90–91 °F at downtown and airport stations, consistent with observed Bay Area readings that day. This aligns with the market’s 100 % implied probability for the 90–91 °F bin, reflecting trader confidence in verified station data once the climatological report is released. Historical June averages near 70 °F underscore how anomalous the event was. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen revision in the final NWS daily summary or station-specific microclimate differences, though current observational agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Volume
$138,305Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A strong heatwave driven by high-pressure ridging and offshore flow pushed San Francisco temperatures well above seasonal norms on June 11, 2026.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus indicated afternoon highs near or at 90–91 °F at downtown and airport stations, consistent with observed Bay Area readings that day. This aligns with the market’s 100 % implied probability for the 90–91 °F bin, reflecting trader confidence in verified station data once the climatological report is released. Historical June averages near 70 °F underscore how anomalous the event was. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen revision in the final NWS daily summary or station-specific microclimate differences, though current observational agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$138,305Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**A strong heatwave driven by high-pressure ridging and offshore flow pushed San Francisco temperatures well above seasonal norms on June 11, 2026.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus indicated afternoon highs near or at 90–91 °F at downtown and airport stations, consistent with observed Bay Area readings that day. This aligns with the market’s 100 % implied probability for the 90–91 °F bin, reflecting trader confidence in verified station data once the climatological report is released. Historical June averages near 70 °F underscore how anomalous the event was. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen revision in the final NWS daily summary or station-specific microclimate differences, though current observational agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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