Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 71°F on June 5 under sunny skies and persistent high pressure that suppressed the typical marine-layer cooling. This outcome aligns with early-June climatology, where highs commonly reach the upper 60s to low 70s, and short-range forecast models showed strong consensus around 71°F with minimal spread. The near-100% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher therefore reflects verified post-event data rather than projection. An unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or thicker afternoon stratus could have lowered the peak, but those conditions did not develop.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 5?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$17,181 Vol.
$17,181 Vol.
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$17,181 Vol.
$17,181 Vol.
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 3, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 71°F on June 5 under sunny skies and persistent high pressure that suppressed the typical marine-layer cooling. This outcome aligns with early-June climatology, where highs commonly reach the upper 60s to low 70s, and short-range forecast models showed strong consensus around 71°F with minimal spread. The near-100% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher therefore reflects verified post-event data rather than projection. An unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or thicker afternoon stratus could have lowered the peak, but those conditions did not develop.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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